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how to create financial projections for business plan

How To Create Financial Projections for Your Business Plan

Building a financial projection as you write out your business plan can help you forecast how much money your business will bring in.

a white rectangle with yellow line criss-crossing across it: business plan financial projections

Planning for the future, whether it’s with growth in mind or just staying the course, is central to being a business owner. Part of this planning effort is making financial projections of sales, expenses, and—if all goes well—profits.

Even if your business is a startup that has yet to open its doors, you can still make projections. Here’s how to prepare your business plan financial projections, so your company will thrive.

What are business plan financial projections?

Business plan financial projections are a company’s estimates, or forecasts, of its financial performance at some point in the future. For existing businesses, draw on historical data to detail how your company expects metrics like revenue, expenses, profit, and cash flow to change over time.

Companies can create financial projections for any span of time, but typically they’re for between one and five years. Many companies revisit and amend these projections at least annually. 

Creating financial projections is an important part of building a business plan . That’s because realistic estimates help company leaders set business goals, execute financial decisions, manage cash flow , identify areas for operational improvement, seek funding from investors, and more.

What are financial projections used for? 

Financial forecasting serves as a useful tool for key stakeholders, both within and outside of the business. They often are used for:

Business planning

Accurate financial projections can help a company establish growth targets and other goals . They’re also used to determine whether ideas like a new product line are financially feasible. Future financial estimates are helpful tools for business contingency planning, which involves considering the monetary impact of adverse events and worst-case scenarios. They also provide a benchmark: If revenue is falling short of projections, for example, the company may need changes to keep business operations on track.

Projections may reveal potential problems—say, unexpected operating expenses that exceed cash inflows. A negative cash flow projection may suggest the business needs to secure funding through outside investments or bank loans, increase sales, improve margins, or cut costs.

When potential investors consider putting their money into a venture, they want a return on that investment. Business projections are a key tool they will use to make that decision. The projections can figure in establishing the valuation of your business, equity stakes, plans for an exit, and more. Investors may also use your projections to ensure that the business is meeting goals and benchmarks.

Loans or lines of credit 

Lenders rely on financial projections to determine whether to extend a business loan to your company. They’ll want to see historical financial data like cash flow statements, your balance sheet , and other financial statements—but they’ll also look very closely at your multi-year financial projections. Good candidates can receive higher loan amounts with lower interest rates or more flexible payment plans.

Lenders may also use the estimated value of company assets to determine the collateral to secure the loan. Like investors, lenders typically refer to your projections over time to monitor progress and financial health.

What information is included in financial projections for a business?

Before sitting down to create projections, you’ll need to collect some data. Owners of an existing business can leverage three financial statements they likely already have: a balance sheet, an annual income statement , and a cash flow statement .

A new business, however, won’t have this historical data. So market research is crucial: Review competitors’ pricing strategies, scour research reports and market analysis , and scrutinize any other publicly available data that can help inform your projections. Beginning with conservative estimates and simple calculations can help you get started, and you can always add to the projections over time.

One business’s financial projections may be more detailed than another’s, but the forecasts typically rely on and include the following:

True to its name, a cash flow statement shows the money coming into and going out of the business over time: cash outflows and inflows. Cash flows fall into three main categories:

Income statement

Projected income statements, also known as projected profit and loss statements (P&Ls), forecast the company’s revenue and expenses for a given period.

Generally, this is a table with several line items for each category. Sales projections can include the sales forecast for each individual product or service (many companies break this down by month). Expenses are a similar setup: List your expected costs by category, including recurring expenses such as salaries and rent, as well as variable expenses for raw materials and transportation.

This exercise will also provide you with a net income projection, which is the difference between your revenue and expenses, including any taxes or interest payments. That number is a forecast of your profit or loss, hence why this document is often called a P&L.

Balance sheet

A balance sheet shows a snapshot of your company’s financial position at a specific point in time. Three important elements are included as balance sheet items:

  • Assets. Assets are any tangible item of value that the company currently has on hand or will in the future, like cash, inventory, equipment, and accounts receivable. Intangible assets include copyrights, trademarks, patents and other intellectual property .
  • Liabilities. Liabilities are anything that the company owes, including taxes, wages, accounts payable, dividends, and unearned revenue, such as customer payments for goods you haven’t yet delivered.
  • Shareholder equity. The shareholder equity figure is derived by subtracting total liabilities from total assets. It reflects how much money, or capital, the company would have left over if the business paid all its liabilities at once or liquidated (this figure can be a negative number if liabilities exceed assets). Equity in business is the amount of capital that the owners and any other shareholders have tied up in the company.

They’re called balance sheets because assets always equal liabilities plus shareholder equity. 

5 steps for creating financial projections for your business

  • Identify the purpose and timeframe for your projections
  • Collect relevant historical financial data and market analysis
  • Forecast expenses
  • Forecast sales
  • Build financial projections

The following five steps can help you break down the process of developing financial projections for your company:

1. Identify the purpose and timeframe for your projections

The details of your projections may vary depending on their purpose. Are they for internal planning, pitching investors, or monitoring performance over time? Setting the time frame—monthly, quarterly, annually, or multi-year—will also inform the rest of the steps.

2. Collect relevant historical financial data and market analysis

If available, gather historical financial statements, including balance sheets, cash flow statements, and annual income statements. New companies without this historical data may have to rely on market research, analyst reports, and industry benchmarks—all things that established companies also should use to support their assumptions.

3. Forecast expenses

Identify future spending based on direct costs of producing your goods and services ( cost of goods sold, or COGS) as well as operating expenses, including any recurring and one-time costs. Factor in expected changes in expenses, because this can evolve based on business growth, time in the market, and the launch of new products.

4. Forecast sales

Project sales for each revenue stream, broken down by month. These projections may be based on historical data or market research, and they should account for anticipated or likely changes in market demand and pricing.

5. Build financial projections

Now that you have projected expenses and revenue, you can plug that information into Shopify’s cash flow calculator and cash flow statement template . This information can also be used to forecast your income statement. In turn, these steps inform your calculations on the balance sheet, on which you’ll also account for any assets and liabilities .

Business plan financial projections FAQ

What are the main components of a financial projection in a business plan.

Generally speaking, most financial forecasts include projections for income, balance sheet, and cash flow.

What’s the difference between financial projection and financial forecast?

These two terms are often used interchangeably. Depending on the context, a financial forecast may refer to a more formal and detailed document—one that might include analysis and context for several financial metrics in a more complex financial model.

Do I need accounting or planning software for financial projections?

Not necessarily. Depending on factors like the age and size of your business, you may be able to prepare financial projections using a simple spreadsheet program. Large complicated businesses, however, usually use accounting software and other types of advanced data-management systems.

What are some limitations of financial projections?

Projections are by nature based on human assumptions and, of course, humans can’t truly predict the future—even with the aid of computers and software programs. Financial projections are, at best, estimates based on the information available at the time—not ironclad guarantees of future performance.

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Free Financial Projection and Forecasting Templates

By Andy Marker | January 3, 2024

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We’ve collected the top free financial projection and forecasting templates. These templates enable business owners, CFOs, accountants, and financial analysts to plan future growth, manage cash flow, attract investors, and make informed decisions.  On this page, you'll find many helpful, free, customizable financial projection and forecasting templates, including a  1 2-month financial projection template , a  startup financial projection template , a  3-year financial projection template , and a  small business financial forecast template , among others. You’ll also find details on the  elements in a financial projection template ,  types of financial projection and forecasting templates , and  related financial templates .

Simple Financial Projection Template

Simple Financial Projection Example Template

Download a Sample Simple Financial Projection Template for 

Excel | Google Sheets  

Download a Blank Simple Financial Projection Template for 

Excel | Google Sheets    

Small business owners and new entrepreneurs are the ideal users for this simple financial projection template. Just input your expected revenues and expenses. This template stands out due to its ease of use and focus on basic, straightforward financial planning, making it perfect for small-scale or early-stage businesses. Available with or without sample text, this tool offers clear financial oversight, better budget management, and informed decision-making regarding future business growth. 

Looking for help with your business plan? Check out these  free financial templates for a business plan to streamline the process of organizing your business's financial information and presenting it effectively to stakeholders.

Financial Forecast Template

Financial Forecast Example Template

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This template is perfect for businesses that require a detailed and all-encompassing forecast. Users can input various financial data, such as projected revenues, costs, and market trends, to generate a complete financial outlook. Available with or without example text, this template gives you a deeper understanding of your business's financial trajectory, aiding in strategic decision-making and long-term financial stability. 

These  free cash-flow forecast templates help you predict your business’s future cash inflows and outflows, allowing you to manage liquidity and optimize financial planning.

12-Month Financial Projection Template

12-Month Financial Projection Example Template

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Download a Blank 12-Month Financial Projection Template for 

Use this 12-month financial projection template for better cash-flow management, more accurate budgeting, and enhanced readiness for short-term financial challenges and opportunities. Input estimated monthly revenues and expenses, tracking financial performance over the course of a year. Available with or without sample text, this template is ideal for business owners who need to focus on short-term financial planning. This tool allows you to respond quickly to market shifts and plan effectively for the business's crucial first year. 

Download  free sales forecasting templates to help your business predict future sales, enabling better inventory management, resource planning, and decision-making.

Startup Financial Projection Template

Startup Financial Projection Example Template

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This dynamic startup financial projection template is ideal for startup founders and entrepreneurs, as it's designed specifically for the unique needs of startups. Available with or without example text, this template focuses on clearly outlining a startup's initial financial trajectory, an essential component for attracting investors. Users can input projected revenues, startup costs, and funding sources to create a comprehensive financial forecast.

3-Year Financial Projection Template

3-Year Financial Projection Example Template

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This three-year financial projection template is particularly useful for business strategists and financial planners who are looking for a medium-term financial planning tool. Input data such as projected revenues, expenses, and growth rates for the next three years. Available with or without sample text, this template lets you anticipate financial challenges and opportunities in the medium term, aiding in strategic decision-making and ensuring sustained business growth.

5-Year Financial Forecasting Template

5-Year Financial Forecasting Example Template

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CFOs and long-term business planners can use this five-year financial forecasting template to get a clear, long-range financial vision. Available with or without example text, this template allows you to plan strategically and invest wisely, preparing your business for future market developments and opportunities. This unique tool offers an extensive outlook for your business’s financial strategy. Simply input detailed financial data spanning five years, including revenue projections, investment plans, and expected market growth. Visually engaging bar charts of key metrics help turn data into engaging narratives.

Small Business Financial Forecast Template

Small Business Financial Forecast Example Template

Download a Sample Small Business Financial Forecast Template for 

Download a Blank Small Business Financial Forecast Template for 

Excel | Google Sheets 

The small business financial forecast template is tailored specifically for the scale and specific requirements of small enterprises. Business owners and financial managers can simply input data such as projected sales or expenses. Available with or without sample text, this tool offers the ability to do the following: envision straightforward financial planning; anticipate future financial needs and challenges; make informed decisions; and steer the business toward steady growth.

Elements in a Financial Projection Template

The elements in a financial projection template include future sales, costs, profits, and cash flow. This template illustrates expected receivables, payables, and break-even dates. This tool helps you plan for your business's financial future and growth.   

Here are the standard elements in a financial projection template:   

  • Revenue Projection: This estimates future income from various sources over a specific period.
  • Expense Forecast: This predicts future costs, including both fixed and variable expenses.
  • Profit and Loss Forecast:  This projects the profit or loss by subtracting projected expenses from projected revenues.
  • Cash-Flow Projection: This assesses the inflows and outflows of cash, indicating liquidity over time.
  • Balance Sheet Projection: This predicts the future financial position, showing assets, liabilities, and equity.
  • Break-Even Analysis: This calculates the point at which total revenues equal total costs.
  • Capital Expenditure Forecast: This estimates future spending on fixed assets such as equipment or property.
  • Debt Repayment Plan: This outlines the schedule for paying back any borrowed funds.
  • Sales Forecast:  This predicts future sales volume, often broken down by product or service.
  • Gross Margin Analysis:  This looks at the difference between revenue and cost of goods sold.

Types of Financial Projection and Forecasting Templates

There are many types of financial projection and forecasting templates: basic templates for small businesses; detailed ones for big companies; special ones for startup businesses; and others. There are also sales forecasts, cash-flow estimates, and profit and loss projections. 

In addition, financial projection and forecasting templates include long-term planning templates, break-even analyses, budget forecasts, and templates made for specific industries such as retail or manufacturing. 

Each template serves different financial planning needs. Determine which one best suits your requirements based on the scale of your business, the complexity of its financial structure, and the specific department that you want to analyze.

Here's a list of the top types of financial projection and forecasting templates:  

  • Basic Financial Projection Template: Ideal for small businesses or startups, this template provides a straightforward approach to forecasting revenue, expenses, and cash flow.
  • Detailed Financial Projection Template: Best for larger businesses or those with complex financial structures, this template offers in-depth projections, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash-flow statements.
  • Startup Financial Projection Template: Tailored for startups, this template focuses on funding requirements and early-stage revenue forecasts, both crucial for attracting investors and planning initial operations. 
  • Sales Forecasting Template:  Used by sales and marketing teams to predict future sales, this template helps you set targets and plan marketing strategies. 
  • Cash-Flow Forecast Template: Essential for financial managers who need to monitor the liquidity of the business, this template projects cash inflows and outflows over a period. 
  • Profit and Loss Forecast Template (P&L):  Useful for business owners and financial officers who need to anticipate profit margins, this template enables you to forecast revenues and expenses.  
  • Three-Year / Five-Year Financial Projection Template: Suitable for long-term business planning, these templates provide a broader view of your company’s financial future, improving your development strategy and investor presentations. 
  • Break-Even Analysis Template:  Used by business strategists and financial analysts, this template helps you determine when your business will become profitable. 
  • Budget Forecasting Template:  Designed for budget managers, this template uses historical financial data to help you plan your future spending. 
  • Sector-Specific Financial Projection Template:  Designed for specific industries (such as retail or manufacturing), these templates take into account industry-specific factors and benchmarks.

Related Financial Templates

Check out this list of free financial templates related to financial projections and forecasting. You'll find templates for budgeting, tracking profits and losses, planning your finances, and more. These tools help keep your company’s money matters organized and clear.

Free Project Budget Templates

Simple Budget Plan Template

Use one of these  project budget templates to maintain control over project finances, ensuring costs stay aligned with the allocated budget and improving overall financial management.

Free Monthly Budget Templates

how to create financial projections for business plan

Use one of these  monthly budget templates to effectively track and manage your business’s income and expenses, helping you plan financially and save money.

Free Expense Report Templates

Simple Expense Report Template

Use one of these  expense report templates to systematically track and document all business-related expenditures, ensuring accurate reimbursement and efficient financial record-keeping.

Free Balance Sheet Templates

Basic Balance Sheet Template

Use one of these  balance sheet templates to summarize your company's financial position at a given time.

Free Cash-Flow Forecast Templates

Cash Flow Forecast Template

Use one of these  cash-flow forecast templates to predict future cash inflows and outflows, helping you manage liquidity and make informed financial decisions.

Free Cash-Flow Statement Templates

how to create financial projections for business plan

Use one of these  cash-flow statement templates to track the movement of cash in and out of your business, so you can assess your company’s level of liquidity and financial stability.

Free Discounted Cash-Flow (DCF) Templates

Sample Discounted Cash Flow Template

Use one of these  discounted cash-flow (DCF) templates to evaluate the profitability of investments or projects by calculating their present value based on future cash flows.

Free Financial Dashboard Templates

Executive Dashboard Template

Use one of these  financial dashboard templates to get an at-a-glance view of key financial metrics, so you can make decisions quickly and manage finances effectively.

Related Customer Stories

Free financial planning templates.

Business Budget Template

Use one of these  financial planning templates to strategically organize and forecast future finances, helping you set realistic financial goals and ensure long-term business growth.

Free Profit and Loss (P&L) Templates

Printable Profit and Loss Statement Template

Use one of these  profit and loss (P&L) templates to systematically track income and expenses, giving you a clear picture of your company's profitability over a specific period.

Free Billing and Invoice Templates

Commercial Invoice

Use one of these  billing and invoice templates to streamline the invoicing process and ensure that you bill clients accurately and professionally for services or products.

Plan and Manage Your Company’s Financial Future with Financial Projection and Forecasting Templates from Smartsheet

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How to make financial projections for business.

How to Make Financial Projections for Business

Writing a solid business plan should be the first step for any business owner looking to create a successful business. 

As a small business owner, you will want to get the attention of investors, partners, or potential highly skilled employees. It is, therefore, important to have a realistic financial forecast incorporated into your business plan. 

We’ll break down a financial projection and how to utilize it to give your business the best start possible.

Key Takeaways

Accurate financial projections are essential for businesses to succeed. In this article, we’ll explain everything you need to know about creating financial projections for your business. Here’s what you need to know about financial projections:

  • A financial projection is a group of financial statements that are used to forecast future performance
  • Creating financial projections can break down into 5 simple steps: sales projections, expense projections, balance sheet projections, income statement projections, and cash flow projections
  • Financial projections can offer huge benefits to your business, including helping with forecasting future performance, ensuring steady cash flow, and planning key moves around the growth of the business

Here’s What We’ll Cover:

What Is a Financial Projection?

How to Create a Financial Projection

What goes into a financial projection, what are financial projections used for.

Financial Projections Advantages

Frequently Asked Questions

What Is Financial Projection?

A financial projection is essentially a set of financial statements . These statements will forecast future revenues and expenses. 

Any projection includes your cash inflows and outlays, your general income, and your balance sheet. 

They are perfect for showing bankers and investors how you plan to repay business loans. They also show what you intend to do with your money and how you expect your business to grow. 

Most projections are for the first 3-5 years of business, but some include a 10-year forecast too.

Either way, you will need to develop a short and mid-term projection broken down month by month. 

As you are just starting out with your business, you won’t be expected to provide exact details. Most financial projections are rough guesses. But they should also be educated guesses based on market trends, research, and looking at similar businesses. 

It’s incredibly important for financial statements to be realistic. Most investors will be able to spot a fanciful projection from a mile away. 

In general, most people would prefer to be given realistic projections, even if they’re not as impressive.

Today's Numbers Tomorrow's Growth

Financial projections are created to help business owners gain insight into the future of their company’s financials. 

The question is, how to create financial projections? For business plan purposes, it’s important that you follow the best practices of financial projection closely. This will ensure you get accurate insight, which is vital for existing businesses and new business startups alike.

Here are the steps for creating accurate financial projections for your business.

1. Start With A Sales Projection

For starters, you’ll need to project how much your business will make in sales. If you’re creating a sales forecast for an existing business, you’ll have past performance records to project your next period. Past data can provide useful information for your financial projection, such as if your sales do better in one season than another.

Be sure also to consider external factors, such as the economy at large, the potential for added tariffs and taxes in the future, supply chain issues, or industry downturns. 

The process is almost the same for new businesses, only without past data to refer to. Business startups will need to do more research on their industry to gain insight into potential future sales.

2. Create Your Expense Projection

Next, create an expense projection for your business. In a sense, this is an easier task than a sales projection since it seems simpler to predict your own behaviors than your customers. However, it’s vital that you expect the unexpected.

Optimism is great, but the worst-case scenario must be considered and accounted for in your expense projection. From accidents in the workplace to natural disasters, rising trade prices, to unexpected supply disruptions, you need to consider these large expenses in your projection. 

Something always comes up, so we suggest you add a 10-15% margin on your expense projection.

3. Create Your Balance Sheet Projection

A balance sheet projection is used to get a clear look at your business’s financial position related to assets, liabilities , and equity, giving you a more holistic view of the company’s overall financial health. 

For startup businesses, this can prove to be a lot of work since you won’t have existing records of past performance to pull from. This will need to be factored into your industry research to create an accurate financial projection.

For existing businesses, it will be more straightforward. Use your past and current balance sheets to predict your business’s position in the next 1-3 years. If you use a cloud-based, online accounting software with the feature to generate balance sheets, such as the one offered by FreshBooks, you’ll be able to quickly create balance sheets for your financial projection within the app.

Click here to learn more about the features of FreshBooks accounting software.

FreshBooks accounting software

4. Make Your Income Statement Projection

Next up, create an income statement projection. An income statement is used to declare the net income of a business after all expenses have been made. In other words, it states the profits of a business.

For currently operating businesses, you can use your past income statements and the changes between them to create accurate predictions for the next 1-3 years. You can also use accounting software to generate your income statements automatically. 

You’ll need to work on rough estimates for new businesses or those still in the planning phase. It’s vital that you stay realistic and do your utmost to create an accurate, good-faith projection of future income. 

5. Finally, Create Your Cash Flow Projection

Last but not least is to generate your projected cash flow statement. A cash flow projection forecasts the movement of all money to and from your business. It’s intertwined with a business’s balance sheet and income statement, which is no different when creating projections. 

If your business has been operating for six months or more, you can create a fairly accurate cash flow projection with your past cash flow financial statements. For new businesses, you’ll need to factor in this step of creating a financial forecast when doing your industry research. 

It needs to include five elements to ensure an accurate, useful financial forecast for your business. These financial statements come together to provide greater insight into the projected future of a business’s financial health. These include:

Income Statement

A standard income statement summarizes your company’s revenues and expenses over a period. This is normally done either quarterly or annually.

The income statement is where you will do the bulk of your forecasting. 

On any income statement, you’re likely to find the following:

  • Revenue: Your revenue earned through sales. 
  • Expenses: The amount you’ve spent, including your product costs and your overheads.
  • Pre-Tax Earnings: This is your income before you’ve paid tax.
  • Net Income: The total revenues minus your total expenses. 

Net income is the most important number. If the number is positive, then you’re earning a profit, if it’s negative, it means your expenses outweigh your revenue and you’re making a loss. 

Cash Flow Statement

Your cash flow statement will show any potential investor whether you are a good credit risk. It also shows them if you can successfully repay any loans you are granted.

You can break a cash flow statement into three parts:

  • Cash Revenues: An overview of your calculated cash sales for a given time period. 
  • Cash Disbursements: You list all the cash expenditures you expect to pay.
  • Net Cash Revenue: Take the cash revenues minus your cash disbursements.

cash flow statement

Balance Sheet

Your balance sheet will show your business’s net worth at a given time.

A balance sheet is split up into three different sections:

  • Assets: An asset is a tangible object of value that your company owns. It could be things like stock or property such as warehouses or offices. 
  • Liabilities: These are any debts your business owes.
  • Equity: Your equity is the summary of your assets minus your liabilities.

Balance Sheet

Looking for an easy-to-use yet capable online accounting software? FreshBooks accounting software is a cloud-based solution that makes financial projections simple. With countless financial reporting features and detailed guides on creating accurate financial forecasts, FreshBooks can help you gain the insight you need to let your business thrive. Click here to give FreshBooks a try for free.

FreshBooks accounting software features

Financial projections have many uses for current business owners and startup entrepreneurs. Provided your financial forecasting follows the best practices for an accurate projection, your data will be used for:

  • Internal planning and budgeting – Your finances will be the main factor in whether or not you’ll be able to execute your business plan to completion. Financial projections allow you to make it happen.
  • Attracting investors and securing funding – Whether you’re receiving financing from bank loans, investors, or both, an accurate projection will be essential in receiving the funds you need.
  • Evaluating business performance and identifying areas for improvement – Financial projections help you keep track of your business’s financial health, allowing you to plan ahead and avoid unwelcome surprises.
  • Making strategic business decisions – Timing is important in business, especially when it comes to major expenditures (new product rollouts, large-scale marketing, expansion, etc.). Financial projections allow you to make an informed strategy for these big decisions.

Financial Projections Advantages 

Creating clear financial projections for your business startup or existing company has countless benefits. Focusing on creating (and maintaining) good financial forecasting for your business will:

  • Help you make vital financial decisions for the business in the future
  • Help you plan and strategize for growth and expansion
  • Demonstrate to bankers how you will repay your loans 
  • Demonstrate to investors how you will repay financing
  • Identify your most essential financing needs in the future
  • Assist in fine-tuning your pricing
  • Be helpful when strategizing your production plan
  • Be a useful tool for planning your major expenditures strategically
  • Help you keep an eye on your cash flow for the future

Put Your Books On Autopilot

Your financial forecast is an essential part of your business plan, whether you’re still in the early startup phases or already running an established business. However, it’s vital that you follow the best practices laid out above to ensure you receive the full benefits of comprehensive financial forecasting.  

If you’re looking for a useful tool to save time on the administrative tasks of financial forecasting, FreshBooks can help. With the ability to instantly generate the reports you need and get a birds-eye-view of your business’s past performance and overall financial help, it will be easier to create useful financial projections that provide insight into your financial future. 

FAQs on Financial Projections

More questions about financial forecasting, projections, and how these processes fit into your business plan? Here are some frequently asked questions by business owners.

Why are financial projections important?

Financial projections allow you to gain insight into your business’s economic trajectory. This helps business owners make financial decisions, secure funding, and more. Additionally, financial projections provide early warning of roadblocks and challenges that may lay ahead for the company, making it easier to plan for a clear course of action.

What is an example of a financial projection?

A projection is an overall look at a business’s forecasted performance. It’s made up of several different statements and reports, such as a cash flow statement, income statement, profit and loss statement, and sales statement. You can find free templates and examples of many of these reports via FreshBooks. Click here to view our selection of accounting templates.

Are financial forecasts and financial projections the same?

Technically, there is a difference between forecasting and projections, though many use the terms interchangeably. Financial forecasting often refers to shorter-term (<1 year) predictions of financial performance, while financial projections usually focus on a larger time scale (2-3 years).

What is the most widely used method for financial forecasting?

The most common method of accurate forecasting is the straight-line forecasting method. It’s most often used for projecting the growth of a business’s revenue growth over a set period. If you notice that your records indicate a 4% growth of revenue per year for five years running, it would be reasonable to assume that this will continue year-over-year. 

What is the purpose of a financial projection?

Projection aims to get deeper, more nuanced insight into a business’s financial health and viability. It allows business owners to anticipate expenses and profit growth, giving them the tools to secure funding and loans and strategize major business decisions. It’s an essential accounting process that all business owners should prioritize in their business plans.

how to create financial projections for business plan

Michelle Alexander, CPA

About the author

Michelle Alexander is a CPA and implementation consultant for Artificial Intelligence-powered financial risk discovery technology. She has a Master's of Professional Accounting from the University of Saskatchewan, and has worked in external audit compliance and various finance roles for Government and Big 4. In her spare time you’ll find her traveling the world, shopping for antique jewelry, and painting watercolour floral arrangements.

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How to Prepare a Financial Plan for Startup Business (w/ example)

Financial Statements Template

Financial Statements Template

Ajay Jagtap

  • December 7, 2023
  • 13 Min Read

financial plan for startup business

If someone were to ask you about your business financials, could you give them a detailed answer?

Let’s say they ask—how do you allocate your operating expenses? What is your cash flow situation like? What is your exit strategy? And a series of similar other questions.

Instead of mumbling what to answer or shooting in the dark, as a founder, you must prepare yourself to answer this line of questioning—and creating a financial plan for your startup is the best way to do it.

A business plan’s financial plan section is no easy task—we get that.

But, you know what—this in-depth guide and financial plan example can make forecasting as simple as counting on your fingertips.

Ready to get started? Let’s begin by discussing startup financial planning.

What is Startup Financial Planning?

Startup financial planning, in simple terms, is a process of planning the financial aspects of a new business. It’s an integral part of a business plan and comprises its three major components: balance sheet, income statement, and cash-flow statement.

Apart from these statements, your financial section may also include revenue and sales forecasts, assets & liabilities, break-even analysis , and more. Your first financial plan may not be very detailed, but you can tweak and update it as your company grows.

Key Takeaways

  • Realistic assumptions, thorough research, and a clear understanding of the market are the key to reliable financial projections.
  • Cash flow projection, balance sheet, and income statement are three major components of a financial plan.
  • Preparing a financial plan is easier and faster when you use a financial planning tool.
  • Exploring “what-if” scenarios is an ideal method to understand the potential risks and opportunities involved in the business operations.

Why is Financial Planning Important to Your Startup?

Poor financial planning is one of the biggest reasons why most startups fail. In fact, a recent CNBC study reported that running out of cash was the reason behind 44% of startup failures in 2022.

A well-prepared financial plan provides a clear financial direction for your business, helps you set realistic financial objectives, create accurate forecasts, and shows your business is committed to its financial objectives.

It’s a key element of your business plan for winning potential investors. In fact, YC considered recent financial statements and projections to be critical elements of their Series A due diligence checklist .

Your financial plan demonstrates how your business manages expenses and generates revenue and helps them understand where your business stands today and in 5 years.

Makes sense why financial planning is important to your startup or small business, doesn’t it? Let’s cut to the chase and discuss the key components of a startup’s financial plan.

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how to create financial projections for business plan

Key Components of a Startup Financial Plan

Whether creating a financial plan from scratch for a business venture or just modifying it for an existing one, here are the key components to consider including in your startup’s financial planning process.

Income Statement

An Income statement , also known as a profit-and-loss statement(P&L), shows your company’s income and expenditures. It also demonstrates how your business experienced any profit or loss over a given time.

Consider it as a snapshot of your business that shows the feasibility of your business idea. An income statement can be generated considering three scenarios: worst, expected, and best.

Your income or P&L statement must list the following:

  • Cost of goods or cost of sale
  • Gross margin
  • Operating expenses
  • Revenue streams
  • EBITDA (Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation , & amortization )

Established businesses can prepare annual income statements, whereas new businesses and startups should consider preparing monthly statements.

Cash flow Statement

A cash flow statement is one of the most critical financial statements for startups that summarize your business’s cash in-and-out flows over a given time.

This section provides details on the cash position of your business and its ability to meet monetary commitments on a timely basis.

Your cash flow projection consists of the following three components:

✅ Cash revenue projection: Here, you must enter each month’s estimated or expected sales figures.

✅ Cash disbursements: List expenditures that you expect to pay in cash for each month over one year.

✅ Cash flow reconciliation: Cash flow reconciliation is a process used to ensure the accuracy of cash flow projections. The adjusted amount is the cash flow balance carried over to the next month.

Furthermore, a company’s cash flow projections can be crucial while assessing liquidity, its ability to generate positive cash flows and pay off debts, and invest in growth initiatives.

Balance Sheet

Your balance sheet is a financial statement that reports your company’s assets, liabilities, and shareholder equity at a given time.

Consider it as a snapshot of what your business owns and owes, as well as the amount invested by the shareholders.

This statement consists of three parts: assets , liabilities, and the balance calculated by the difference between the first two. The final numbers on this sheet reflect the business owner’s equity or value.

Balance sheets follow the following accounting equation with assets on one side and liabilities plus Owner’s equity on the other:

Here is what’s the core purpose of having a balance-sheet:

  • Indicates the capital need of the business
  • It helps to identify the allocation of resources
  • It calculates the requirement of seed money you put up, and
  • How much finance is required?

Since it helps investors understand the condition of your business on a given date, it’s a financial statement you can’t miss out on.

Break-even Analysis

Break-even analysis is a startup or small business accounting practice used to determine when a company, product, or service will become profitable.

For instance, a break-even analysis could help you understand how many candles you need to sell to cover your warehousing and manufacturing costs and start making profits.

Remember, anything you sell beyond the break-even point will result in profit.

You must be aware of your fixed and variable costs to accurately determine your startup’s break-even point.

  • Fixed costs: fixed expenses that stay the same no matter what.
  • Variable costs: expenses that fluctuate over time depending on production or sales.

A break-even point helps you smartly price your goods or services, cover fixed costs, catch missing expenses, and set sales targets while helping investors gain confidence in your business. No brainer—why it’s a key component of your startup’s financial plan.

Having covered all the key elements of a financial plan, let’s discuss how you can create a financial plan for your startup or small business.

How to Create a Financial Section of a Startup Business Plan?

1. determine your financial needs.

You can’t start financial planning without understanding your financial requirements, can you? Get your notepad or simply open a notion doc; it’s time for some critical thinking.

Start by assessing your current situation by—calculating your income, expenses , assets, and liabilities, what the startup costs are, how much you have against them, and how much financing you need.

Assessing your current financial situation and health will help determine how much capital you need for your small business and help plan fundraising activities and outreach.

Furthermore, determining financial needs helps prioritize operational activities and expenses, effectively allocate resources, and increase the viability and sustainability of a business in the long run.

Having learned to determine financial needs, let’s head straight to setting financial goals.

2. Define Your Financial Goals

Setting realistic financial goals is fundamental in preparing an effective financial plan for your business plan. So, it would help to outline your long-term strategies and goals at the beginning of your financial planning process.

Let’s understand it this way—if you are a SaaS startup pursuing VC financing rounds, you may ask investors about what matters to them the most and prepare your financial plan accordingly.

However, a coffee shop owner seeking a business loan may need to create a plan that appeals to banks, not investors. At the same time, an internal financial plan designed to offer financial direction and resource allocation may not be the same as previous examples, seeing its different use case.

Feeling overwhelmed? Just define your financial goals—you’ll be fine.

You can start by identifying your business KPIs (key performance indicators); it would be an ideal starting point.

3. Choose the Right Financial Planning Tool

Let’s face it—preparing a financial plan using Excel is no joke. One would only use this method if they had all the time in the world.

Having the right financial planning software will simplify and speed up the process and guide you through creating accurate financial forecasts.

Many financial planning software and tools claim to be the ideal solution, but it’s you who will identify and choose a tool that is best for your financial planning needs.

Pro tip

Create a Financial Plan with Upmetrics in no time

Enter your Financial Assumptions, and we’ll calculate your monthly/quarterly and yearly financial projections.

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Start Forecasting

4. Make Assumptions Before Projecting Financials

Once you have a financial planning tool, you can move forward to the next step— making financial assumptions for your plan based on your company’s current performance and past financial records.

You’re just making predictions about your company’s financial future, so there’s no need to overthink or complicate the process.

You can gather your business’ historical financial data, market trends, and other relevant documents to help create a base for accurate financial projections.

After you have developed rough assumptions and a good understanding of your business finances, you can move forward to the next step—projecting financials.

5. Prepare Realistic Financial Projections

It’s a no-brainer—financial forecasting is the most critical yet challenging aspect of financial planning. However, it’s effortless if you’re using a financial planning software.

Upmetrics’ forecasting feature can help you project financials for up to 7 years. However, new startups usually consider planning for the next five years. Although it can be contradictory considering your financial goals and investor specifications.

Following are the two key aspects of your financial projections:

Revenue Projections

In simple terms, revenue projections help investors determine how much revenue your business plans to generate in years to come.

It generally involves conducting market research, determining pricing strategy , and cash flow analysis—which we’ve already discussed in the previous steps.

The following are the key components of an accurate revenue projection report:

  • Market analysis
  • Sales forecast
  • Pricing strategy
  • Growth assumptions
  • Seasonal variations

This is a critical section for pre-revenue startups, so ensure your projections accurately align with your startup’s financial model and revenue goals.

Expense Projections

Both revenue and expense projections are correlated to each other. As revenue forecasts projected revenue assumptions, expense projections will estimate expenses associated with operating your business.

Accurately estimating your expenses will help in effective cash flow analysis and proper resource allocation.

These are the most common costs to consider while projecting expenses:

  • Fixed costs
  • Variable costs
  • Employee costs or payroll expenses
  • Operational expenses
  • Marketing and advertising expenses
  • Emergency fund

Remember, realistic assumptions, thorough research, and a clear understanding of your market are the key to reliable financial projections.

6. Consider “What if” Scenarios

After you project your financials, it’s time to test your assumptions with what-if analysis, also known as sensitivity analysis.

Using what-if analysis with different scenarios while projecting your financials will increase transparency and help investors better understand your startup’s future with its best, expected, and worst-case scenarios.

Exploring “what-if” scenarios is the best way to better understand the potential risks and opportunities involved in business operations. This proactive exercise will help you make strategic decisions and necessary adjustments to your financial plan.

7. Build a Visual Report

If you’ve closely followed the steps leading to this, you know how to research for financial projections, create a financial plan, and test assumptions using “what-if” scenarios.

Now, we’ll prepare visual reports to present your numbers in a visually appealing and easily digestible format.

Don’t worry—it’s no extra effort. You’ve already made a visual report while creating your financial plan and forecasting financials.

Check the dashboard to see the visual presentation of your projections and reports, and use the necessary financial data, diagrams, and graphs in the final draft of your financial plan.

Here’s what Upmetrics’ dashboard looks like:

Upmetrics financial projections visual report

8. Monitor and Adjust Your Financial Plan

Even though it’s not a primary step in creating a good financial plan for your small business, it’s quite essential to regularly monitor and adjust your financial plan to ensure the assumptions you made are still relevant, and you are heading in the right direction.

There are multiple ways to monitor your financial plan.

For instance, you can compare your assumptions with actual results to ensure accurate projections based on metrics like new customers acquired and acquisition costs, net profit, and gross margin.

Consider making necessary adjustments if your assumptions are not resonating with actual numbers.

Also, keep an eye on whether the changes you’ve identified are having the desired effect by monitoring their implementation.

And that was the last step in our financial planning guide. However, it’s not the end. Have a look at this financial plan example.

Startup Financial Plan Example

Having learned about financial planning, let’s quickly discuss a coffee shop startup financial plan example prepared using Upmetrics.

Important Assumptions

  • The sales forecast is conservative and assumes a 5% increase in Year 2 and a 10% in Year 3.
  • The analysis accounts for economic seasonality – wherein some months revenues peak (such as holidays ) and wanes in slower months.
  • The analysis assumes the owner will not withdraw any salary till the 3rd year; at any time it is assumed that the owner’s withdrawal is available at his discretion.
  • Sales are cash basis – nonaccrual accounting
  • Moderate ramp- up in staff over the 5 years forecast
  • Barista salary in the forecast is $36,000 in 2023.
  • In general, most cafes have an 85% gross profit margin
  • In general, most cafes have a 3% net profit margin

Projected Balance Sheet

Projected Balance Sheet

Projected Cash-Flow Statement

Cash-Flow Statement

Projected Profit & Loss Statement

Profit & Loss Statement

Break Even Analysis

Break Even Analysis

Start Preparing Your Financial Plan

We covered everything about financial planning in this guide, didn’t we? Although it doesn’t fulfill our objective to the fullest—we want you to finish your financial plan.

Sounds like a tough job? We have an easy way out for you—Upmetrics’ financial forecasting feature. Simply enter your financial assumptions, and let it do the rest.

So what are you waiting for? Try Upmetrics and create your financial plan in a snap.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often should i update my financial projections.

Well, there is no particular rule about it. However, reviewing and updating your financial plan once a year is considered an ideal practice as it ensures that the financial aspirations you started and the projections you made are still relevant.

How do I estimate startup costs accurately?

You can estimate your startup costs by identifying and factoring various one-time, recurring, and hidden expenses. However, using a financial forecasting tool like Upmetrics will ensure accurate costs while speeding up the process.

What financial ratios should startups pay attention to?

Here’s a list of financial ratios every startup owner should keep an eye on:

  • Net profit margin
  • Current ratio
  • Quick ratio
  • Working capital
  • Return on equity
  • Debt-to-equity ratio
  • Return on assets
  • Debt-to-asset ratio

What are the 3 different scenarios in scenario analysis?

As discussed earlier, Scenario analysis is the process of ascertaining and analyzing possible events that can occur in the future. Startups or small businesses often consider analyzing these three scenarios:

  • base-case (expected) scenario
  • Worst-case scenario
  • best case scenario.

About the Author

how to create financial projections for business plan

Ajay is a SaaS writer and personal finance blogger who has been active in the space for over three years, writing about startups, business planning, budgeting, credit cards, and other topics related to personal finance. If not writing, he’s probably having a power nap. Read more

Reach Your Goals with Accurate Planning

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How to Create Financial Projections for Your Business Plan

Written by Dave Lavinsky

Growthink Business Plan Financial Projections

Financial projections, also known as financial models, are forecasts of your company’s expected financial performance, typically over the next 5 years.

Over the past 25+ years, we’ve created financial projections for thousands of startups and existing businesses. In doing so, we’ve found 3 key reasons why financial projections are important:

  • They help you determine the viability of your new business ideas and/or your need to make modifications to them. For instance, if your initial financial projections show your business idea isn’t profitable, you’ll know that changes are needed (e.g., raising prices, serving new markets, figuring out how to reduce costs, etc.) to make it viable.
  • They are crucial for raising funding. Lenders will always review your financial projections to ensure you can comfortably repay any loans they issue you. Equity investors will nearly always review your projections in determining whether they can achieve their desired return on their investment in your business.
  • They help keep your business financially on track by giving you goals. For instance, if your financial projections state your company should generate 100 new clients this year, and the year is halfway done and you’re only at 30 clients, you’ll know you need to readjust your strategy to achieve your goals.

In the remainder of this article, you’ll learn more about financial projections, how to complete them, and how to incorporate them in your business plan.

Download our Ultimate Business Plan Template Here to Quickly & Easily Complete Your Business Plan & Financial Projections

What are Financial Projections?

Financial projections are forecasts or estimations of your company’s future revenues and expenses, serving as a crucial part of business planning. To complete them you must develop multiple assumptions with regards to items like future sales volumes, employee headcount and the cost of supplies and other expenses. Financial projections help you create better strategies to grow your business.

Your financial projections will be the most analyzed part of your business plan by investors and/or banks. While never a precise prediction of future performance, an excellent financial model outlines the core assumptions of your business and helps you and others evaluate capital requirements, risks involved, and rewards that successful execution will deliver.

Having a solid framework in place also will help you compare your performance to the financial projections and evaluate how your business is progressing. If your performance is behind your projections, you will have a framework in place to assess the effects of lowering costs, increasing prices, or even reimagining your model. In the happy case that you exceed your business projections, you can use your framework to plan for accelerated growth, new hires, or additional expansion investments.

Hence, the use of financial projections is multi-fold and crucial for the success of any business. Your financial projections should include three core financial statements – the income statement, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet. The following section explains each statement in detail.

Necessary Financial Statements

The three financial statements are the income statement, the cash flow statement, and the balance sheet. You will learn how to create each one in detail below.  

Income Statement Projection

The projected income statement is also referred to as a profit and loss statement and showcases your business’s revenues and expenses for a specific period.

To create an income statement, you first will need to chart out a sales forecast by taking realistic estimates of units sold and multiplying them by price per unit to arrive at a total sales number. Then, estimate the cost of these units and multiply them by the number of units to get the cost of sales. Finally, calculate your gross margin by subtracting the cost of sales from your sales.

Once you have calculated your gross margin, deduct items like wages, rent, marketing costs, and other expenses that you plan to pay to facilitate your business’s operations. The resulting total represents your projected operating income, which is a critical business metric.

Plan to create an income statement monthly until your projected break-even, or the point at which future revenues outpace total expenses, and you reflect operating profit. From there, annual income statements will suffice.

Sample Income Statement

Consider a sample income statement for a retail store below:

Profit and Loss Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Sales $3,607,119 $4,254,682 $4,858,315 $5,385,603 $5,795,374
Direct Cost of Sales $2,528,406 $2,982,315 $3,405,430 $3,775,033 $4,062,261
Gross Margin $1,078,713 $1,272,367 $1,452,884 $1,610,570 $1,733,113
Gross Margin 29.91% 29.91% 29.91% 29.91% 29.91%
Operating Expenses
Salaries $390,000 $409,500 $429,975 $451,474 $474,047
Taxes and Benefits $136,500 $143,325 $150,491 $158,016 $165,917
Marketing $36,000 $39,600 $43,560 $47,916 $52,708
Rent $144,000 $148,320 $152,770 $157,353 $162,073
Utilities $36,000 $37,080 $38,192 $39,338 $40,518
Depreciation $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000
Professional, Administrative & Merchant Fees $108,214 $127,640 $145,749 $161,568 $173,861
Other $102,874 $118,133 $132,485 $145,221 $155,442
Total Operating Expenses $1,003,587 $1,073,599 $1,143,223 $1,210,885 $1,274,566
Operating Profit $75,126 $198,768 $309,662 $399,685 $458,547
Interest $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Taxes $15,776 $41,741 $65,029 $83,934 $96,295
Net Profit $59,349 $157,027 $244,633 $315,751 $362,252
Net Margin 1.65% 3.69% 5.04% 5.86% 6.25%

Cash Flow Projection

As the name indicates, a cash flow statement shows the cash flowing in and out of your business. The cash flow statement incorporates cash from business operations and includes cash inflows and outflows from investment and financing activities to deliver a holistic cash picture of your company.

Investment activities include purchasing land or equipment or research & development activities that aren’t necessarily part of daily operations. Cash movements due to financing activities include cash flowing in a business through investors and/or banks and cash flowing out due to debt repayment or distributions made to shareholders.

You should total all these three components of a cash flow projection for any specified period to arrive at a total ending cash balance. Constructing solid cash flow projections will ensure you anticipate capital needs to carry the business to a place of sustainable operations.

Sample Cash Flow Statement

Below is a simple cash flow statement for the same retail store:

Cash Flow Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Cash Inflow
Investments Received $715,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
Cash from Sales $3,607,119 $4,254,682 $4,858,315 $5,385,603 $5,795,374
Total Cash Inflow $4,322,119 $4,254,682 $4,858,315 $5,385,603 $5,795,374
Cash Outflow
Preliminary expenses $15,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
Direct Cash Spending $2,919,493 $3,416,009 $3,879,994 $4,287,090 $4,606,345
Cash for Payables $528,729 $627,273 $679,465 $728,872 $773,385
Increase in Inventory $163,862 $12,721 $10,891 $8,613 $5,964
Purchase Long-Term Assets $500,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Cash Outflow $4,127,085 $4,056,003 $4,570,351 $5,024,575 $5,385,694
Net Cash Flow $195,034 $198,679 $287,964 $361,028 $409,680
Cash Balance $195,034 $393,713 $681,677 $1,042,705 $1,452,385

Balance Sheet Projection

A balance sheet shows your company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity for a certain period and provides a snapshot in time of your business performance. Assets include things of value that the business owns, such as inventory, capital, and land. Liabilities, on the other hand, are legally bound commitments like payables for goods or services rendered and debt. Finally, owner’s equity refers to the amount that is remaining once liabilities are paid off. Assets must total – or balance – liabilities and equity.

Your startup financial documents should include annual balance sheets that show the changing balance of assets, liabilities, and equity as the business progresses. Ideally, that progression shows a reduction in liabilities and an increase in equity over time.

While constructing these varied business projections, remember to be flexible. You likely will need to go back and forth between the different financial statements since working on one will necessitate changes to the others.

Sample Balance Sheet

Below is a simple balance sheet for the retail store:

Balance Sheet Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Assets
Current Assets
Cash $195,034 $393,713 $681,677 $1,042,705 $1,452,385
Inventory $163,862 $176,583 $187,475 $196,087 $202,051
Total Current Assets $358,897 $570,297 $869,152 $1,238,793 $1,654,437
Long-Term Assets
Long-Term Assets $500,000 $500,000 $500,000 $500,000 $500,000
Accumulated Depreciation $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000
Total Long-term Assets $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000
Miscellaneous Assets
Intangible Assets $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000
Total Miscellaneous Assets $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000
Total Assets $823,897 $985,297 $1,234,152 $1,553,793 $1,919,437
Liabilities and Capital
Liabilities $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Accounts Payable $49,547 $53,920 $58,143 $62,032 $65,425
Total Liabilities $49,547 $53,920 $58,143 $62,032 $65,425
Capital
Paid-in Capital $715,000 $715,000 $715,000 $715,000 $715,000
Retained Earnings $0 $59,349 $216,376 $461,009 $776,760
Earnings $59,349 $157,027 $244,633 $315,751 $362,252
Total Capital $774,349 $931,376 $1,176,009 $1,491,760 $1,854,012
Total Liabilities and Capital $823,897 $985,297 $1,234,152 $1,553,793 $1,919,437
Net Worth $774,349 $931,376 $1,176,009 $1,491,760 $1,854,012

How to Finish Your Business Plan and Financial Projections in 1 Day!

Don’t you wish there was a faster, easier way to finish your plan and financial projections?

With Growthink’s Ultimate Business Plan Template you can finish your plan in just 8 hours or less!

How to Create Financial Projections

When it comes to financial forecasting, simplicity is key. Your financial projections do not have to be overly sophisticated and complicated to impress, and convoluted projections likely will have the opposite effect on potential investors. Keep your tables and graphs simple and fill them with credible data that inspires confidence in your plan and vision. The below tips will help bolster your financial projections.  

Create a List of Assumptions

Your financial projections should be tied to a list of assumptions. For example, one assumption will be the initial monthly cash sales you achieve. Another assumption will be your monthly growth rate. As you can imagine, changing either of these assumptions will significantly impact your financial projections.

As a result, tie your income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statements to your assumptions. That way, if you change your assumptions, all of your financial projections automatically update.

Below are the key assumptions to include in your financial model:

For EACH essential product or service you offer:

  • What is the number of units you expect to sell each month?
  • What is your expected monthly sales growth rate?
  • What is the average price that you will charge per product or service unit sold?
  • How much do you expect to raise your prices each year?
  • How much does it cost you to produce or deliver each unit sold?
  • How much (if at all) do you expect your direct product costs to grow each year?

For EACH subscription/membership, you offer:

  • What is the monthly/quarterly/annual price of your membership?
  • How many members do you have now, or how many members do you expect to gain in the first month/quarter/year?
  • What is your projected monthly/quarterly/annual growth rate in the number of members?
  • What is your projected monthly/quarterly/annual member churn (the percentage of members that will cancel each month/quarter/year)?
  • What is the average monthly/quarterly/annual direct cost to serve each member (if applicable)?

Cost Assumptions

  • What is your monthly salary? What is the annual growth rate in your salary?
  • What is your monthly salary for the rest of your team? What is the expected annual growth rate in your team’s salaries?
  • What is your initial monthly marketing expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your marketing expense?
  • What is your initial monthly rent + utility expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your rent + utility expense?
  • What is your initial monthly insurance expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your insurance expense?
  • What is your initial monthly office supplies expense? What is the expected annual growth rate in your office supplies expense?
  • What is your initial monthly cost for “other” expenses? What is the expected annual growth rate in your “other” expenses?

Capital Expenditures, Funding, Tax, and Balance Sheet Items

  • How much money do you need for Capital Expenditures in your first year  (to buy computers, desks, equipment, space build-out, etc.)?
  • How much other funding do you need right now?
  • What percent of the funding will be financed by Debt (versus equity)?
  • What Corporate Tax Rate would you like to apply to company profits?
  • What is your Current Liabilities Turnover (in the number of days)?
  • What are your Current Assets, excluding cash (in the number of days)?
  • What is your Depreciation rate?
  • What is your Amortization number of Years?
  • What is the number of years in which your debt (loan) must be paid back?
  • What is your Debt Payback interest rate?

Create Two Financial Projection Scenarios

It would be best if you used your assumptions to create two sets of financial projections that exhibit two very different scenarios. One is your best-case scenario, and the other is your worst-case. Investors are usually very interested in how a business plan will play out in both these scenarios, allowing them to better analyze the robustness and potential profitability of a business.  

Conduct a Ratio Analysis

Gain an understanding of average industry financial ratios, including operating ratios, profitability ratios, return on investment ratios, and the like. You can then compare your own estimates with these existing ratios to evaluate costs you may have overlooked or find historical financial data to support your projected performance. This ratio analysis helps ensure your financial projections are neither excessively optimistic nor excessively pessimistic.  

Be Realistic

It is easy to get carried away when dealing with estimates and you end up with very optimistic financial projections that will feel untenable to an objective audience. Investors are quick to notice and question inflated figures. Rather than excite investors, such scenarios will compromise your legitimacy.  

Create Multi-Year Financial Projections

The first year of your financial projections should be presented on a granular, monthly basis. For subsequent years, annual projections will suffice. It is advised to have three- or five-year projections ready when you start courting investors. Since your plan needs to be succinct, you can add yearly projections as appendices to your main plan.

You should now know how to create financial projections for your business plan. In addition to creating your full projections as their own document, you will need to insert your financial projections into your plan. In your executive summary, Insert your topline projections, that is, just your sales, gross margins, recurring expenses, EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization), and net income). In the financial plan section of your plan, insert your key assumptions and a little more detail than your topline projections. Include your full financial model in the appendix of your plan.

Other Helpful Business Plan Articles & Templates

Business Plan Template

How to Write a Financial Plan for a Business Plan

Stairs leading up to a dollar sign. Represents creating a financial plan to achieve profitability.

Noah Parsons

4 min. read

Updated July 11, 2024

Download Now: Free Business Plan Template →

Creating a financial plan for a business plan is often the most intimidating part for small business owners.

It’s also one of the most vital. Businesses with well-structured and accurate financial statements are more prepared to pitch to investors, receive funding, and achieve long-term success.

Thankfully, you don’t need an accounting degree to successfully create your budget and forecasts.

Here is everything you need to include in your business plan’s financial plan, along with optional performance metrics, funding specifics, mistakes to avoid , and free templates.

  • Key components of a financial plan in business plans

A sound financial plan for a business plan is made up of six key components that help you easily track and forecast your business financials. They include your:

Sales forecast

What do you expect to sell in a given period? Segment and organize your sales projections with a personalized sales forecast based on your business type.

Subscription sales forecast

While not too different from traditional sales forecasts—there are a few specific terms and calculations you’ll need to know when forecasting sales for a subscription-based business.

Expense budget

Create, review, and revise your expense budget to keep your business on track and more easily predict future expenses.

How to forecast personnel costs

How much do your current, and future, employees’ pay, taxes, and benefits cost your business? Find out by forecasting your personnel costs.

Profit and loss forecast

Track how you make money and how much you spend by listing all of your revenue streams and expenses in your profit and loss statement.

Cash flow forecast

Manage and create projections for the inflow and outflow of cash by building a cash flow statement and forecast.

Balance sheet

Need a snapshot of your business’s financial position? Keep an eye on your assets, liabilities, and equity within the balance sheet.

What to include if you plan to pursue funding

Do you plan to pursue any form of funding or financing? If the answer is yes, you’ll need to include a few additional pieces of information as part of your business plan’s financial plan example.

Highlight any risks and assumptions

Every entrepreneur takes risks with the biggest being assumptions and guesses about the future. Just be sure to track and address these unknowns in your plan early on.

Plan your exit strategy

Investors will want to know your long-term plans as a business owner. While you don’t need to have all the details, it’s worth taking the time to think through how you eventually plan to leave your business.

  • Financial ratios and metrics

With your financial statements and forecasts in place, you have all the numbers needed to calculate insightful financial ratios.

While including these metrics in your financial plan for a business plan is entirely optional, having them easily accessible can be valuable for tracking your performance and overall financial situation.

Key financial terms you should know

It’s not hard. Anybody who can run a business can understand these key financial terms. And every business owner and entrepreneur should know them.

Common business ratios

Unsure of which business ratios you should be using? Check out this list of key financial ratios that bankers, financial analysts, and investors will want to see.

Break-even analysis

Do you want to know when you’ll become profitable? Find out how much you need to sell to offset your production costs by conducting a break-even analysis.

How to calculate ROI

How much could a business decision be worth? Evaluate the efficiency or profitability by calculating the potential return on investment (ROI).

  • How to improve your financial plan

Your financial statements are the core part of your business plan’s financial plan that you’ll revisit most often. Instead of worrying about getting it perfect the first time, check out the following resources to learn how to improve your projections over time.

Common mistakes with business forecasts

I was glad to be asked about common mistakes with startup financial projections. I read about 100 business plans per year, and I have this list of mistakes.

How to improve your financial projections

Learn how to improve your business financial projections by following these five basic guidelines.

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Content Author: Noah Parsons

Noah is the COO at Palo Alto Software, makers of the online business plan app LivePlan. He started his career at Yahoo! and then helped start the user review site Epinions.com. From there he started a software distribution business in the UK before coming to Palo Alto Software to run the marketing and product teams.

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Financial Projections for Startups [Template + Course Included]

how to create financial projections for business plan

January 11, 2022

Adam Hoeksema

Financial projections are an important part of any business plan or startup pitch deck. They allow a company to estimate future revenues, expenses, and profits, and to identify potential risks and opportunities.  We have been helping founders create financial projections through our templates, tools, and custom financial modeling services since 2012.  I thought it was finally time to write a comprehensive article that should answer the key questions that we get from founders again and again.  So here is what I plan to cover:

What are financial projections? 

Why should a startup create financial projections, how to create a financial forecast , creating sales projections based on data, forecasting operating expenses, salary projections.

  • Startup cost forecasting

Pro forma financial statements

Existing business vs. startup vs acquisition forecasting, how to know whether my projections are realistic, what will investors and lenders be looking for in my projections, tools used for financial forecasting.

But first, who am I, and do I know anything about financial projections? 

My name is Adam Hoeksema and I am the Co-Founder of ProjectionHub.  Since 2012 we have helped over 50,000 entrepreneurs create financial projections between our software tool and our business projection spreadsheet templates . 

I didn’t spend a decade on Wall Street or make a killing in private equity, and I haven’t even raised VC funding myself.  

But I did spend over a decade launching a growing an SBA (Small Business Administration) lender in the Indianapolis, IN area.  During that time we made over 1,800 small business loans and we often asked our clients for financial projections along with their loan applications.  That is why I started ProjectionHub.  

So 10 years ago my experience was with helping small, main street businesses create projections and secure loan funding to start their dream.  Along the way, I learned a ton about startup projections for tech-based businesses as well.  Today about 50% of our work is with small businesses looking for an SBA loan and 50% is with tech-based businesses looking to raise capital from investors.  

With that background in mind, I want to share with you what I have learned along the way to try to make your financial forecasting process just a little bit easier.  Let’s dive in!

Financial projections are estimates of the future financial performance of a company. These projections are typically based on a set of assumptions and are used to help businesses plan for the future and make informed decisions about investments, financing, and other strategic matters. Most ProjectionHub customers use pro forma financials to help external stakeholders, such as investors and lenders understand a company's financial position and future prospects. Financial projections typically include projections of income, expenses, cash flow, and balance sheet items.  

There are many opinions on whether a startup needs to create a forecasted balance sheet and how many years a set of projections should be.  At ProjectionHub, all of our financial projection templates have an integrated pro forma income statement, cash flow and balance sheet in annual and monthly format for 5 years.  This seems to meet the needs of 99% of our customers, so I think it is pretty safe to say that your investor or lender might not require all of that level of information, but they probably won’t require more than a 5-year forecast of your 3 statement financials. 

So it sounds like a lot of work to create a financial forecast, so why do we create projections?  No one can know the future.  Isn’t it just a pointless exercise?  

Well, I think it is smart for an entrepreneur to create a set of projections before they start a business to understand what they are getting themselves into and what it will take to break even and generate a profit.  

I could beat that drum all day, and you know what it doesn’t really matter.  Even if we know it is a good idea to create projections before throwing our life savings into a new venture, most entrepreneurs will not create projections before starting their business.  I have just come to accept this!  

So the real reason to create projections is because the people with the money, the investors and lenders ask for them.  

  • Investors will ask for a financial model because they want to see how you plan to use their money, how long you think it will last, and what the potential return could be. 
  • Lenders will ask to see financial projections for startups or new projects or divisions in a business because they want to be able to see whether you think you can pay them back or not.  How does your debt service coverage ratio look? How many cups of coffee are you going to have to sell to make your monthly loan payment? 

Now that we know why we are creating projections and who the audience is, let’s get into the “how.”

So the plan now is to walk through how to create a set of financial projections, how to do good research to take a data-driven approach when modeling, what tools you can use to help you with research, and then how to know whether your forecast is realistic once you are done.   We are going to look at:

  • Creating revenue projections
  • Operating Expenses
  • Salaries Forecasting
  • How to get investor and lender-ready projections

Revenue Projections

This is where we will camp out for a while.  I want to show you a few examples of different types of revenue models to show you how I approach creating revenue projections.  

If you have a stable, existing business, then it is possible that the best approach to creating sales projections is simply to take last year’s numbers and apply a growth rate based on your expectations of growth.  Since that approach is quite straightforward I am not going to spend any time on that today. Our Existing Business Forecast Template will be perfect for you in this scenario.  

We are going to focus on more of a first principles approach.  I am going to outline two different approaches that I often take when building a financial model.  First a capacity approach and then a customer funnel approach.  

Capacity-Based Revenue Projections

I use a capacity-based approach to revenue projections when a company is pretty certain to have demand for their products or services and their revenue is more of a function of your price x capacity.  

Here are some examples of businesses where I would take a capacity-based approach. 

Farming Projections

For a farm, your revenue forecast is going to be based on how many acres you are farming x the yield per acre x the price per unit for your crop.  You don’t really need to worry about whether you have a customer or not.  Since most crops are commodities you won’t need to find a customer, you simply sell into the ready made market at the market price. 

Trucking Projections

Trucking is similar in the sense that as long as you have a valid license and a working truck, you will be able to find loads to deliver.  The question is more about how many trucks do you have, how many miles per day can each truck drive and what price will you be able to earn per mile.  Again this is about capacity and price, not whether or not you can find a customer.  This is the approach we take to show how a trucking business with one truck can generate $400k in annual revenue . 

Daycare Facility

A daycare facility will also be able to calculate a capacity based on the size of the facility and the teacher-to-student ratio requirements.  Once you have your capacity it is mostly a function of pricing to determine your revenue forecast.  You can see a screenshot from our daycare financial forecast tool to see how we think about modeling this type of business. 

Example of daycare capacity projections

I would say most tech businesses do not fall into a capacity-based projection approach. 

For tech companies, I typically use a customer funnel-based approach to forecasting revenue. 

Customer Funnel-Based Revenue Projection Approach

These are companies where your customer might not even know your product or service exists and might not know that they want it or need it so you are going to have to really go out and market and sell.  You will likely have a customer funnel that will have leads that convert into customers over time.  

Here are some examples of business models where I would use a customer funnel approach to financial modeling. 

B2B SaaS Projections

For a B2B SaaS product you will probably have an advertising budget and a sales team that will drive leads that your team will work to qualify.  Then some percentage of those sales qualified leads will turn into customers.  You will need assumptions for things like:

  • A monthly ad budget 
  • Cost per click to attract a website visitor
  • Percentage of website visitors that become sales qualified leads
  • Percentage of sales qualified leads that the sales team converts into customers
  • Average monthly spend per customer

DTC Product Forecasting

For direct to consumer product companies you will have a similar customer funnel.  Once you get to a customer, then you might have assumptions like:

  • Average order value
  • % of customers that become repeat customers
  • How often do repeat customers repurchase

Consumer Apps 

For a consumer mobile app you will need assumptions for things like:

  • Monthly ad budget
  • Cost per download
  • Organic / word of mouth downloads
  • % of customers that download the app that convert into active users
  • % of active users that churn each year
  • Average monthly spend per active user per month

So this should give you an idea of the structure of assumptions that you will need in order to approach creating projections, but I just left you with a bunch of assumptions that you have no idea how to fill in with realistic data.  

Next I want to show you what I would do in order to research and find good data for your sales projections. 

So how do you know how many people are searching on Google for terms that are relevant to your product or service?  How do you know how much it would cost to advertise and get a click for that term?  How do you know what a reasonable conversion rate is from a website visitor to a customer?  How do you know what the average order value is for an ecommerce business like yours, etc? 

I recorded an entire course on this , but I have listed some tools and some slides below to show you my typical research process. 

As you will notice in the slides, I start out be simply doing Google research to try to find reasonable assumptions for as many of the key assumptions as I can.  

From there, I like to use the following tools:

  • Ahrefs - I use this tool for competitor research to determine how much organic traffic my competitors are getting and thereby how much organic traffic my website might get over time. 
  • Google Trends - I use Google Trends to see seasonality trends in a business. 
  • Google Adwords Keyword Tool - I use this tool to forecast how much it will cost per click to attract a website visitor, and to see search volume for certain keywords.
  • Bizminer - You can use Bizminer industry reports to get an idea of key industry ratios to get an idea of whether your projections are realistic for your industry. 

When forecasting expenses I like a couple of different resources to help me forecast my expenses and ensure that my expense projections are within industry standards. 

Expenses for Small Businesses

Bizminer - You can use Bizminer industry reports to get an idea of key industry ratios.  For example, you can determine if the average company in your industry spends 10% on rent or 12% on rent. 

Expenses for Tech Startups

SaaS Capital - You can use this report from SaaS Capital to get an idea of the spending categories as a % of revenue for tech companies.  This is specifically focused on SaaS, so if you are in ecommerce or a hardware startup you will need to find a similar source for your industry.  You can see an example of the expense ratios from SaaS Capital below:

median spend by company funding source chart

When forecasting salaries I actually take two different approaches.  I typically start out by projecting specific salaries and positions for the first 24 months of the projection.  Then after that, I simply include salaries in larger buckets of operating expenses like General & Admin, R&D, and Sales & Marketing.  When you are raising investment the investors will likely want to know your specific use of funds for the first 18 to 24 months, but after that they will understand that it is impossible to predict exact positions, timing and salaries, so transitioning to an expense as a % of revenue makes sense.  You can see how this looks in one of our financial models for a B2B SaaS company : 

Detailed Salary Projections for the First 24 Months:

how to create financial projections for business plan

Salaries included in operating expense categories as a percentage of sales for year 3 and beyond:

how to create financial projections for business plan

Startup Cost Forecasting

When forecasting your startup costs, your specific location, concept, size and scale of business will make a dramatic difference in what it costs to launch your business.  I don’t recommend that you just take the first “average startup cost” number that you find in a Google search because your specific situation matters.  You will need to do your own research for each startup cost, but I have actually found it helpful to use ChatGPT to ask for a list of common startup expenses for business XYZ so that I don’t forget any common expenses. 

I have already mentioned this before, but I commonly take a different approach to creating projections for an existing business compared to a startup compared to modeling a business acquisition.  

Existing Business Projections

When modeling a projection for an existing business I like to use our existing business budgeting template that allows me to enter in historical revenue and expenses and use that as a baseline to build a forecast by increasing or decreasing expenses and revenue based on my plans. 

Startup Projections

For a startup, I would use one of our 70+ industry specific financial projection templates and start from the ground up.  You would use the research process outlined in this article to create your projections. 

Forecasting a Business Acquisition

For creating projections for a business that you are looking to acquire I would use our acquisition financial model which will allow you to enter in historical financials from the target business, but it will also allow you to make adjustments to the balance sheet and revenue and expenses for a post acquisition pro forma. You can’t simply use the existing balance sheet and income statement because both will likely change quite a bit after the sale of the business.

Finally, I wanted to show you some example pro forma statements so that you can see what the end product should look like.  

Pro forma P&L Example

Here is an example of our 5 year pro forma income statement. 

example 5 year profit and loss example

Pro forma Balance Sheet Example

Here is an example of our 5 year pro forma balance sheet. 

Example of 5 year pro forma balance sheet

Once you have a complete set of projections (if you are using a ProjectionHub template) I would suggest taking a look at the profit and loss at a glance table as seen below: 

example of profit and loss summary

In this example, I am looking at projections for a technology company that is looking to raise investment.  So a couple of things that I would look at for a tech company pro forma.  

  • The first year should probably be a loss because that is why you are looking to raise investment right?  I would just make sure you are assuming that you will raise enough investment to cover that first year loss.  
  • Next I would look at how fast revenue is growing.  For an investable company there is a rule of thumb “triple, triple, double, double” which means after investment an investor will be hoping that you triple sales the first 2 years and then double sales the following two years.  This is really hard to do, so if you are forecasting that you will do 10x every year you are probably off base! 
  • For tech startups you can look at this study with our partner Story Pitch Decks where we looked at what is a reasonable projection for a tech startup .  This study will show you what other similar companies are projecting, so that you can ensure that whatever you project will fall within the norms that investors see. 

Investors and lenders will likely be looking at the following numbers and ratios to make sure your projections seem to be reasonable:

  • Gross Profit Margin
  • Profit Margin
  • Debt Service Coverage Ratio
  • Comparing to industry averages
  • Do revenue projections, units sold make sense?
  • Does your balance sheet balance?
  • When do you reach breakeven?
  • Do you have room for error?

I suggest that you simply Google these things and make sure your numbers seem “normal.”  For example, if you are opening a coffee shop you could Google “average profit margin for a coffee shop” and you would probably find our article on coffee shop profit margins .  Confirm that your forecasted profit margins are in line and reasonable. Do this same exercise with each of these key ratios and numbers.  

As a thank you for reading this behemoth of an article, you can download our free financial projection template .  Other tools that I utilized or mentioned in the article include:

  • Ahrefs - For competitor research
  • Google Trends - For seasonality trends
  • Google Adwords Keyword Tool - For search volume and cost per click
  • Bizminer - For industry expense ratios
  • ProjectionHub Pro Forma Templates - You can use our library of templates built specifically for over 70 unique industries and business models. 

If you would like to learn more about my process for creating financial projections, you can watch this course that I put on for tech startups looking to create investor-ready financial projections. 

Insert Webinar video below

Well I hope this has been helpful to you.  If you have specific questions please feel free to reach out directly to us at [email protected]  

About the Author

Adam is the Co-founder of ProjectionHub which helps entrepreneurs create financial projections for potential investors, lenders and internal business planning. Since 2012, over 50,000 entrepreneurs from around the world have used ProjectionHub to help create financial projections.

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Writing a Business Plan—Financial Projections

Spell out your financial forecast in dollars and sense

Creating financial projections for your startup is both an art and a science. Although investors want to see cold, hard numbers, it can be difficult to predict your financial performance three years down the road, especially if you are still raising seed money. Regardless, short- and medium-term financial projections are a required part of your business plan if you want serious attention from investors.

The financial section of your business plan should include a sales forecast , expenses budget , cash flow statement , balance sheet , and a profit and loss statement . Be sure to follow the generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) set forth by the Financial Accounting Standards Board , a private-sector organization responsible for setting financial accounting and reporting standards in the U.S. If financial reporting is new territory for you, have an accountant review your projections.

Sales Forecast

As a startup business, you do not have past results to review, which can make forecasting sales difficult. It can be done, though, if you have a good understanding of the market you are entering and industry trends as a whole. In fact, sales forecasts based on a solid understanding of industry and market trends will show potential investors that you've done your homework and your forecast is more than just guesswork.

In practical terms, your forecast should be broken down by monthly sales with entries showing which units are being sold, their price points, and how many you expect to sell. When getting into the second year of your business plan and beyond, it's acceptable to reduce the forecast to quarterly sales. In fact, that's the case for most items in your business plan.

Expenses Budget

What you're selling has to cost something, and this budget is where you need to show your expenses. These include the cost to your business of the units being sold in addition to overhead. It's a good idea to break down your expenses by fixed costs and variable costs. For example, certain expenses will be the same or close to the same every month, including rent, insurance, and others. Some costs likely will vary month by month such as advertising or seasonal sales help.

Cash Flow Statement

As with your sales forecast, cash flow statements for a startup require doing some homework since you do not have historical data to use as a reference. This statement, in short, breaks down how much cash is coming into your business on a monthly basis vs. how much is going out. By using your sales forecasts and your expenses budget, you can estimate your cash flow intelligently.

Keep in mind that revenue often will trail sales, depending on the type of business you are operating. For example, if you have contracts with clients, they may not be paying for items they purchase until the month following delivery. Some clients may carry balances 60 or 90 days beyond delivery. You need to account for this lag when calculating exactly when you expect to see your revenue.

Profit and Loss Statement

Your P&L statement should take the information from your sales projections, expenses budget, and cash flow statement to project how much you expect in profits or losses through the three years included in your business plan. You should have a figure for each individual year as well as a figure for the full three-year period.

Balance Sheet

You provide a breakdown of all of your assets and liabilities in the balances sheet. Many of these assets and liabilities are items that go beyond monthly sales and expenses. For example, any property, equipment, or unsold inventory you own is an asset with a value that can be assigned to it. The same goes for outstanding invoices owed to you that have not been paid. Even though you don't have the cash in hand, you can count those invoices as assets. The amount you owe on a business loan or the amount you owe others on invoices you've not paid would count as liabilities. The balance is the difference between the value of everything you own vs. the value of everything you owe.

Break-Even Projection

If you've done a good job projecting your sales and expenses and inputting the numbers into a spreadsheet, you should be able to identify a date when your business breaks even—in other words, the date when you become profitable, with more money coming in than going out. As a startup business, this is not expected to happen overnight, but potential investors want to see that you have a date in mind and that you can support that projection with the numbers you've supplied in the financial section of your business plan.

Additional Tips

When putting together your financial projections, keep some general tips in mind:

  • Get comfortable with spreadsheet software if you aren't already. It is the starting point for all financial projections and offers flexibility, allowing you to quickly change assumptions or weigh alternative scenarios. Microsoft Excel is the most common, and chances are you already have it on your computer. You can also buy special software packages to help with financial projections.
  • Prepare a five-year projection . Don’t include this one in the business plan, since the further into the future you project, the harder it is to predict. However, have the projection available in case an investor asks for it.
  • Offer two scenarios only . Investors will want to see a best-case and worst-case scenario, but don’t inundate your business plan with myriad medium-case scenarios. They likely will just cause confusion.
  • Be reasonable and clear . As mentioned before, financial forecasting is as much art as science. You’ll have to assume certain things, such as your revenue growth, how your raw material and administrative costs will grow, and how effective you’ll be at collecting on accounts receivable. It’s best to be realistic in your projections as you try to recruit investors. If your industry is going through a contraction period and you’re projecting revenue growth of 20 percent a month, expect investors to see red flags.

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Business Plan Financial Projections: How To Create Accurate Targets

  • Written by Keith Murphy
  • 17 min read

Business Plan Financial Projections

Small businesses and startups have a lot riding on their ability to create effective and accurate financial projections as part of their business plan. 

Solid financials are a strong enticement for investors, after all, and can help new businesses chart a course that will take them beyond the legendendarily difficult first year and into a productive and profitable future.

But the need for business owners to look ahead in order to secure funding, increase profits, and make intelligent financial decisions doesn’t end when startups become full-fledged businesses—and business plan financial projections aren’t just for startups. 

Existing businesses can also put them to good use by harvesting insights from their existing financial statements and creating sales projections and other financial forecasts that guide and improve their ongoing business planning.

What Are Business Plan Financial Projections?

Successful companies plan ahead, looking as best they can into the near and distant future to chart a course to growth, innovation, and competitive strength. 

Financial projections, both as part of an initial business plan and as part of ongoing business planning, use a company’s financial statements to help business owners forecast their upcoming expenses and revenue in a strategically useful way.

Most businesses use two types of financial projections:

  • Short-term projections are broken down by month and generally cover the coming 12 months. They provide a guide companies can use to monitor and adjust their financial activity to set and hit targets for the financial year. In the first year, short-term projections will be entirely estimated, but in subsequent years, historical data can be used to help fine-tune them for greater accuracy and strategic utility.
  • Long-term projections are focused on the coming three to five years and are generally used to secure investment (both initial and ongoing), provide a strategic roadmap for the company’s growth, or both.

For startups, creating financial projections is part of their initial business plan. Providing financial forecasts banks and potential investors can use to determine the financial viability of a business is key to obtaining financing and investments needed to get the business off the ground.

For existing businesses—for whom an initial business plan has evolved into business planning—financial projections are useful in attracting investors who want to see clear estimates for upcoming revenue, expenses, and potential growth. 

They’re also helpful in securing loans and lines of credit from financial institutions for the same reason. And even if you’re not trying to get funding or investments, financial projections provide a useful framework for building budgets focused on growth and competitive advantage.

So whether you’re a small business owner, an aspiring tycoon starting a new business, or part of the financial team at a well-established corporation, what matters most is viewing financial projections as a living, breathing reference tool that can help you plan and budget for growth in a realistic way while still setting aspirational goals for your business.

Financial Projections: Core Components

Whether you’re preparing them as part of your business plan or to enhance your business planning, you’ll need the same financial statements to prepare financial projections: an income statement, a cash-flow statement, and a balance sheet.

  • Income statements , sometimes called profit and loss statements , provide detailed information on your company’s revenue and expenses for a given period (e.g., a quarter, year, or multi-year period).
  • Cash flow statements provide a comprehensive view of cash flowing into and out of a business. They record all cash flow from operations, investment, and financing activities.
  • Balance sheets are used to showcase a company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity for a specific period.

How to Create Financial Projections

The process of creating financial projections is the same whether you’re drafting a business plan or creating forecasts for an existing business. 

The primary difference is whether you’ll draw on your own research and expertise (a new business or startup business) or use historical data (existing businesses).

Keep in mind that while you’ll create the necessary documents separately, you’ll most likely finish them by consulting each of them as needed. For example, your sales forecast might change once you prepare your cash-flow statement. 

The best approach is to view each document as both its own piece of the financial projection puzzle and a reference for the others; this will help ensure you can assemble comprehensive and clear financial projections.

1. Start with a Sales Projection

A sales forecast is the first step in creating your income statement. You can start with a one, three, or five-year projection, but keep in mind that, without historical financial data, accuracy may decrease over time. 

It’s best to start with monthly income statements until you reach your projected break-even , which is the point at which revenue exceeds total operating expenses and you show a profit. Once you hit the break-even, you can transition to annual income statements.

Also, keep in mind factors outside of sales; market conditions, global environmental, political, and health concerns, sourcing challenges (including pricing changes and increased variable costs) and other business disruptors can put the kibosh on your carefully constructed forecasts if you leave them out of your considerations.

Start with a reasonable estimate of the units sold for the forecast period, and multiply them by the price per unit. This value is your total sales for the period.

Next, estimate the total cost of producing these units (i.e., the cost of goods sold , or COGS; sometimes called cost of sales ) by multiplying the per-unit cost by the number of units produced.

Deducting your COGS from your estimated sales yields your gross profit margin.

From the gross margin, subtract expenses such as wages, marketing costs, rent, and other operating expenses. The result is your projected operating income , or net income .

Using these figures, you can create an income statement:

Sales $4,723,047 $5,184,298 $5,675,431 $6,123,984 $6,593,380
COGS $3,307,023 $3,630,046 $4,063,937 $4,288,014 $4,616,685
G. Margin (%) 29.98% 29.98% 29.98% 29.98% 29.98%
Wages $400,000 $420,000 $442,000 $463,000 $485,000
Taxes/Benefits $137,021 $142,570 $150,874 $159,021 $164,997
Marketing $35,000 $40,500 $42,750 $46,875 $51,974
Rent $135,000 $137,000 $139,000 $141,000 $143,000
Utilities $37,000 $38,475 $39,543 $40,485 $41,993
Depreciation $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 $50,000
Professional, Merchant, and Administrative Fees $110,435 $129,854 $144,347 $160,852 $173,031
Other $101,299 $117,043 $133,971 $145,256 $155,307
Operating Profit $410,269 $478,810 $559,009 $629,481 $711,393
Interest $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Taxes $16,783 $42,976 $67,125 $84,963 $97,224
Net Margin (%) 8.33% 8.41% 8.67% 8.89% 9.31%

2. Cash Flow Statement

Tracking your estimated cash inflows and outflows from investment and financing, combined with the cash generated by business operations, is the purpose of a cash flow projection .

Investment activities might include, for example, purchasing real estate or investing in research and development outside of daily operations.

Financing activities include cash inflows from investor funding or business loans, as well as cash outflows to repay debts or pay dividends to shareholders.

A reliable and accurate cash flow projection is essential to managing your working capital effectively and ensuring you have all the cash you need to cover your ongoing obligations while still having enough left to invest in growth and innovation or cover emergencies.

Drawing from our income statement, we can create a basic cash flow statement:

Cash Inflow
Investments Received $800,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
Cash from Sales $4,723,047 $5,184,298 $5,675,431 $6,123,984 $6,593,380
Preliminary Expenses $17,500 $0 $0 $0 $0
Direct Cash Spending $3,997,869 $4,398,782 $4,822,891 $5,191,740 $5,622,831
Cash to Payables $548,804 $632,980 $673,086 $719,643 $741,406
Inventory Increase $178,954 $13,231 $9,348 $7,334 $4,993
Long-Term Assets Purchased $475,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Cash Outflow $5,218,127 $5,044,993 $5,505,325 $5,918,717 $6,369,230
Cash Balance $304,920 $444,225 $614,331 $819,598 $1,043,748

3. The Balance Sheet

Providing a “snapshot” of your businesses’ financial performance for a given period of time, the balance sheet contains your company’s assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity.

Assets include inventory, real estate, and capital, while liabilities represent financial obligations and include accounts payable, bank loans, and other debt.

Owner’s equity represents the amount remaining once liabilities have been paid.

Ideally, over time your company’s balance sheet will reflect your growth through a reduction of liabilities and an increase in owner’s equity.

We can complete our triumvirate of financial statements with a basic balance sheet:

Cash $304,920 $444,225 $614,331 $819,598 $1,043,748
Inventory $178,954 $192,185 $201,533 $208,867 $213,860
Long-Term Assets $475,000 $475,000 $475,000 $475,000 $475,000
Accumulated Depreciation $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000
Intangible Assets $17,500 $17,500 $17,500 $17,500 $17,500
Liabilities $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Accounts Payable $50,321 $54,745 $59,028 $63,143 $67,202
Capital
Paid-In Capital $750,000 $750,000 $750,000 $750,000 $750,000
Retained Earnings $0 $393,486 $829,320 $1,321,204 $1,865,722
Earnings $393,486 $435,834 $491,884 $544,518 $614,169

Best Practices for Effective Financial Projections

Like a lot of other business processes, financial planning can be complex, time-consuming, and even frustrating if you’re still using manual workflows and paper documents or basic spreadsheet-style applications such as Microsoft Excel. 

You can get free templates for basic financial projections from the Service Corps of Retired Executives (SCORE), but even templates can only take you so far.

Without a doubt, the best advantage you can give yourself in creating effective and accurate financial projections—whether they’re for the financial section of your business plan or simply part of your ongoing business planning—is to invest in comprehensive procure-to-pay (P2P) software such as Planergy.

In addition to helpful templates, best-in-class P2P software also provides a rich array of real-time data analysis, reporting, and forecasting tools that make it easy to transform historical data (or market research) into accurate forecasts. 

In addition, artificial intelligence and process automation make it easy to collect, organize, manage and share your data with all internal stakeholders, so everyone has the information they need to create the most useful and complete forecasts and projections possible.

Beyond investing in P2P software, you can also improve the quality and accuracy of your financial projections by:

  • Doing your homework. Invest in financial statement analysis and ratio analysis, with a focus not just on your own company, but your industry and the market in general. Learn the current ratios used for liquidity analysis, profitability, and debt and compare them to your own to get a more nuanced and useful understanding of how your company performs internally and within the context of the marketplace.
  • Keeping it real. It can be all too easy to get carried away with pie-in-the-sky optimism when forecasting the future of your business. Rose-colored glasses aren’t exclusive to startups and small businesses; over-inflated estimates can hobble even veteran organizations if they don’t practice good data discipline and temper their hopes with practical considerations. Focus on creating realistic, but positive, projections, and you won’t have to worry about investors or lenders glancing askance at your hard work.
  • Hoping for the best, but planning for the worst. Run two scenarios when performing your financial projections: the best-case scenario where everything goes perfectly to plan, and a worse-case scenario where Murphy’s Law holds sway. While actual performance will undoubtedly fall somewhere in between the two, having an upper and lower boundary appeals to investors and lenders who are assessing your company’s financial viability.

Financial Projections Help You Reach Your Goals for Growth

From startups to global corporations, every business needs reliable tools for financial forecasting. 

Take the time to create well-researched, data-driven financial projections, and you’ll be well-equipped to attract investors, secure funding, and chart a course for greater profits, growth, and performance in today’s competitive marketplace.

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How to Create Financial Projections for your Business Plan

  • Last Updated: September 10, 2024
  • By: StartUp 101

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how to create financial projections for business plan

Starting a business is an exciting time, but one that can come with some uncertainty. Writing out your business plan helps to increase your success significantly in addition to reducing some of the worries by getting all the ideas out of your head and organized on paper.

Financial projections are an essential component of the  business plan  to provide a realistic view as to whether or not your business is financially viable for success.

By creating financial plans, you are also able to test some of your assumptions to see the financial impact and analyze whether your business idea is feasible.

What are financial projections?

Financial projections (sometimes referred to as pro forma) are an essential part of a business plan. They are used to forecast a business’s expected sales and expenses and analyze the financial feasibility of the company. These forecasts evaluate past trends, current market conditions, and future expectations. They will also take into account regional sales potential and growth strategies and examine external and internal costs, such as the cost of customer acquisition and the amount of money you can afford to pay team members and yourself.

While it may be tempting to skip this step, not completing it could be costly.

Why are financial projections important?

Financial projections are one of the most critical steps in starting a small business. These figures help show you whether or not your business has a reasonable chance of being profitable. If your company does not reflect a profit based on your projections, you may have to make some adjustments. Financial projections can also help determine realistic price points and sales goals. They can also show you whether or not a profitable market even exists for the product or service you wish to provide.

The sales forecast is also useful in analyzing cash flows from accounts receivable and accounts payable to ensure the company has enough cash to operate.

Another reason financial projections are important is when requesting funding.  The bank will review whether you have realistic financial projections before making a business loan.

How to create financial projections?

It is important to understand that financial projections are simply the best estimates you can determine based on the information available.

These figures are next to impossible to predict accurately. While this financial forecast can’t predict how the business will perform in the future, it will provide the analysis to make informed decisions and plans for the business.

Financial projections are typically shown as a 12-month projection in the first year and by quarter in the second year and third year.

To begin with, your business plan financial projections, start by focusing on your revenue potential and likely expenses.

1. Create sales projections

Projecting sales projections (also known as revenue projections) for a new business is difficult, especially if you are new to the type of business you are starting. They are a few approaches you can consider when preparing the sales forecast.  Some companies will have multiple sources of revenue. To make these easier to follow, each revenue stream is often put on a separate line in the projections.

Average household spending  – The Consumer Expenditure Survey program from the  U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics  (scroll down to the Annual Calendar Year Tables) provides data on the expenditures of U.S. consumers. Using the average household spending multiplied by the population in your target area, you can come up with the total potential sales. Try not to get too carried away with your target area as it will have a significant impact on potential sales.

Using the BLS data, you can look up how much people spend on food and beverages (such as food at home, food away at home, bakery products, alcoholic beverages, etc.), appliances, apparel, education, reading – and the list goes on. This information can be assessed against demographic information such as age, income, education level, occupation, race, religion, and more.

Not only can you use this data to provide useful because you can use it to gauge the feasibility of your business. For instance, if there are three competitors in your market, and you need 10% of the market to make an adequate profit, this may be a good indication your business would be successful. If you needed 80% of the market, it would likely be much more challenging.

Trade associations –  Depending on the industry you are starting your business in, it’s likely there is an industry association. Do a Google search for “[type of business] industry association” or even find a Facebook group to join and ask questions. Many industry associations have statistics and formulas you can use to estimate sales. Make sure to reference your work, so the bank or prospective investors know you didn’t come up with these numbers out of thin air. Be sure to do your own due diligence as these numbers may be overly optimistic.

Menu of services –  Another way to project sales is to create a list of services to assess how many jobs you can do in a day and the pricing of each job.

For instance, if you own a  car detailing business and it takes 4 hours per vehicle to detail, you may be able to do up to two vehicles per day, ten vehicles a week, or 40 vehicles a month (you could squeeze in a few more in a month, but let’s keep the math easy for now).

Each vehicle brings in an average of $100 for a total monthly sales revenue of $4,000. Let’s say that after subtracting rent, utilities, supplies, advertising, etc, you are left with $2,000. Now you find that best case, you have a profit of $2,000, and by working 8 hours a day, you would make $12.50 per hour. Now you have to ask yourself that in this best-case scenario where you have clients lined up each and every day and you are making $12.50 per hour, is this business worth your time?

Regardless of how you project sales, be sure to explain the key assumptions in the business plan so the reader can follow the math!

2. Project operating expenses

Next, project the monthly operating expenses of the business. Some expenses are going to be easy to estimate, such as fixed costs like rent, insurance, and utilities. Other expenses need to be carefully examined as they can make a large difference in the projected profit.

The biggest expense for most businesses is the cost of goods sold, sometimes called COGS, cost of sales, or cost of inventory. This is the cost to produce the item being sold, such as the raw materials to produce it. A typical example is a wedding band sold at a jewelry store. The sales price to the customer may have been $1,000, but the jewelry store purchased it for $700. The cost of goods sold in this instance is $700. Many times COGS is represented as a percentage, which in this example would have been 70% ($700 /$1,000).

You can often find the average cost of goods for most businesses by searching for industry publications.

Another major expense for most businesses is employees. This number can be found for many industries as a percentage of sales; however, we would recommend you create a list of the positions needed, the number of employees for each position, the number of hours worked, and wages. By comparing the industry average with your own list, you can have some confidence your numbers are in the ballpark.

Make a list of the monthly expenses and the cost for those expenses to use later in the financial statements.

3. Seasonality

After getting the sales projections completed, you will also want to look at seasonality. Seasonality refers to the fluctuations in monthly sales. Some businesses will be affected more by seasonality than others, but it is important to analyze because it may show your business will run out of cash. Lenders and potential investors will expect some seasonality, but if you have a business that has steady sales, be sure to explain why your sales are consistent.

In most areas,  landscapers  are a common business that has fluctuating sales. The spring and fall are really busy, while in the winter, there is little to no work.

4. Financial projections

With the sales projections, expenses, and seasonality now out of the way, creating the pro forma financial statements are actually pretty straightforward.

Business plan financial forecasting is typically set up to show a three-year outlook. Depending on the project, especially if it is one that has a significant amount of research and development time before revenues start to come in, some banks and lenders will occasionally want to see a five-year outlook.

There will be three financial statements to create:

  • Cash flow statement –  Similar to a detailed view of a checkbook, the projected cash flow statement  looks at cash coming in and cash going out of the business. Cash flow projections usually look at the first year broken out into 12 months, and the following two years by quarter.
  • Profit and loss statement  – Also referred to as an income statement, this statement is an annual estimate of the taxable profits (or losses) of the business. The numbers in the P&L statement are similar to the cash flow statement; however, depreciation and amortization are also included.
  • Balance sheet –  Not every bank will request a proforma balance sheet for a start-up business. The balance sheet is similar to a personal financial statement that looks at assets and liabilities to determine the net worth.

The balance sheet is projected at the end of each year.

5. Sources and uses of funds

The sources and uses of funds section provide an overview of the financing activities, use of working capital,  loan repayments, and how the money is spent.

The sources section is a list of where the money is coming from to fund the project. This will commonly have a line for the amount of the bank loan and another line for the amount the owner is investing in the business. Keep in mind when preparing this for the bank that most banks will want to see the business owner invest 15%-25% of their own funds in a start-up business.

The uses section provides details of all the startup costs for the business. Items are usually put into categories such as:

  • Real estate
  • Renovations

The amount in the sources section should equal the amount in the uses section.

Financial Projection Templates

There are free financial projection templates from  Smartsheet ,  Spreadsheet 123 , and others. LivePlan has a guided approach (like Turbo Tax) to creating financial projections that are pretty thorough and easy to use.

There are free financial projection templates from  Smartsheet ,  Spreadsheet 123 , and others.  LivePlan has a guided approach (like Turbo Tax) to creating financial projections that are pretty thorough and easy to use.

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How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan

An outline of your company's growth strategy is essential to a business plan, but it just isn't complete without the numbers to back it up. here's some advice on how to include things like a sales forecast, expense budget, and cash-flow statement..

Hands pointing to a engineer's drawing

A business plan is all conceptual until you start filling in the numbers and terms. The sections about your marketing plan and strategy are interesting to read, but they don't mean a thing if you can't justify your business with good figures on the bottom line. You do this in a distinct section of your business plan for financial forecasts and statements. The financial section of a business plan is one of the most essential components of the plan, as you will need it if you have any hope of winning over investors or obtaining a bank loan. Even if you don't need financing, you should compile a financial forecast in order to simply be successful in steering your business. "This is what will tell you whether the business will be viable or whether you are wasting your time and/or money," says Linda Pinson, author of Automate Your Business Plan for Windows  (Out of Your Mind 2008) and Anatomy of a Business Plan (Out of Your Mind 2008), who runs a publishing and software business Out of Your Mind and Into the Marketplace . "In many instances, it will tell you that you should not be going into this business." The following will cover what the financial section of a business plan is, what it should include, and how you should use it to not only win financing but to better manage your business.

Dig Deeper: Generating an Accurate Sales Forecast

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How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan: The Purpose of the Financial Section Let's start by explaining what the financial section of a business plan is not. Realize that the financial section is not the same as accounting. Many people get confused about this because the financial projections that you include--profit and loss, balance sheet, and cash flow--look similar to accounting statements your business generates. But accounting looks back in time, starting today and taking a historical view. Business planning or forecasting is a forward-looking view, starting today and going into the future. "You don't do financials in a business plan the same way you calculate the details in your accounting reports," says Tim Berry, president and founder of Palo Alto Software, who blogs at Bplans.com and is writing a book, The Plan-As-You-Go Business Plan. "It's not tax reporting. It's an elaborate educated guess." What this means, says Berry, is that you summarize and aggregate more than you might with accounting, which deals more in detail. "You don't have to imagine all future asset purchases with hypothetical dates and hypothetical depreciation schedules to estimate future depreciation," he says. "You can just guess based on past results. And you don't spend a lot of time on minute details in a financial forecast that depends on an educated guess for sales." The purpose of the financial section of a business plan is two-fold. You're going to need it if you are seeking investment from venture capitalists, angel investors, or even smart family members. They are going to want to see numbers that say your business will grow--and quickly--and that there is an exit strategy for them on the horizon, during which they can make a profit. Any bank or lender will also ask to see these numbers as well to make sure you can repay your loan. But the most important reason to compile this financial forecast is for your own benefit, so you understand how you project your business will do. "This is an ongoing, living document. It should be a guide to running your business," Pinson says. "And at any particular time you feel you need funding or financing, then you are prepared to go with your documents." If there is a rule of thumb when filling in the numbers in the financial section of your business plan, it's this: Be realistic. "There is a tremendous problem with the hockey-stick forecast" that projects growth as steady until it shoots up like the end of a hockey stick, Berry says. "They really aren't credible." Berry, who acts as an angel investor with the Willamette Angel Conference, says that while a startling growth trajectory is something that would-be investors would love to see, it's most often not a believable growth forecast. "Everyone wants to get involved in the next Google or Twitter, but every plan seems to have this hockey stick forecast," he says. "Sales are going along flat, but six months from now there is a huge turn and everything gets amazing, assuming they get the investors' money."  The way you come up a credible financial section for your business plan is to demonstrate that it's realistic. One way, Berry says, is to break the figures into components, by sales channel or target market segment, and provide realistic estimates for sales and revenue. "It's not exactly data, because you're still guessing the future. But if you break the guess into component guesses and look at each one individually, it somehow feels better," Berry says. "Nobody wins by overly optimistic or overly pessimistic forecasts."

Dig Deeper: What Angel Investors Look For

How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan: The Components of a Financial Section

A financial forecast isn't necessarily compiled in sequence. And you most likely won't present it in the final document in the same sequence you compile the figures and documents. Berry says that it's typical to start in one place and jump back and forth. For example, what you see in the cash-flow plan might mean going back to change estimates for sales and expenses.  Still, he says that it's easier to explain in sequence, as long as you understand that you don't start at step one and go to step six without looking back--a lot--in between.

  • Start with a sales forecast. Set up a spreadsheet projecting your sales over the course of three years. Set up different sections for different lines of sales and columns for every month for the first year and either on a monthly or quarterly basis for the second and third years. "Ideally you want to project in spreadsheet blocks that include one block for unit sales, one block for pricing, a third block that multiplies units times price to calculate sales, a fourth block that has unit costs, and a fifth that multiplies units times unit cost to calculate cost of sales (also called COGS or direct costs)," Berry says. "Why do you want cost of sales in a sales forecast? Because you want to calculate gross margin. Gross margin is sales less cost of sales, and it's a useful number for comparing with different standard industry ratios." If it's a new product or a new line of business, you have to make an educated guess. The best way to do that, Berry says, is to look at past results.
  • Create an expenses budget. You're going to need to understand how much it's going to cost you to actually make the sales you have forecast. Berry likes to differentiate between fixed costs (i.e., rent and payroll) and variable costs (i.e., most advertising and promotional expenses), because it's a good thing for a business to know. "Lower fixed costs mean less risk, which might be theoretical in business schools but are very concrete when you have rent and payroll checks to sign," Berry says. "Most of your variable costs are in those direct costs that belong in your sales forecast, but there are also some variable expenses, like ads and rebates and such." Once again, this is a forecast, not accounting, and you're going to have to estimate things like interest and taxes. Berry recommends you go with simple math. He says multiply estimated profits times your best-guess tax percentage rate to estimate taxes. And then multiply your estimated debts balance times an estimated interest rate to estimate interest.
  • Develop a cash-flow statement. This is the statement that shows physical dollars moving in and out of the business. "Cash flow is king," Pinson says. You base this partly on your sales forecasts, balance sheet items, and other assumptions. If you are operating an existing business, you should have historical documents, such as profit and loss statements and balance sheets from years past to base these forecasts on. If you are starting a new business and do not have these historical financial statements, you start by projecting a cash-flow statement broken down into 12 months. Pinson says that it's important to understand when compiling this cash-flow projection that you need to choose a realistic ratio for how many of your invoices will be paid in cash, 30 days, 60 days, 90 days and so on. You don't want to be surprised that you only collect 80 percent of your invoices in the first 30 days when you are counting on 100 percent to pay your expenses, she says. Some business planning software programs will have these formulas built in to help you make these projections.
  • Income projections. This is your pro forma profit and loss statement, detailing forecasts for your business for the coming three years. Use the numbers that you put in your sales forecast, expense projections, and cash flow statement. "Sales, lest cost of sales, is gross margin," Berry says. "Gross margin, less expenses, interest, and taxes, is net profit."
  • Deal with assets and liabilities. You also need a projected balance sheet. You have to deal with assets and liabilities that aren't in the profits and loss statement and project the net worth of your business at the end of the fiscal year. Some of those are obvious and affect you at only the beginning, like startup assets. A lot are not obvious. "Interest is in the profit and loss, but repayment of principle isn't," Berry says. "Taking out a loan, giving out a loan, and inventory show up only in assets--until you pay for them." So the way to compile this is to start with assets, and estimate what you'll have on hand, month by month for cash, accounts receivable (money owed to you), inventory if you have it, and substantial assets like land, buildings, and equipment. Then figure out what you have as liabilities--meaning debts. That's money you owe because you haven't paid bills (which is called accounts payable) and the debts you have because of outstanding loans.
  • Breakeven analysis. The breakeven point, Pinson says, is when your business's expenses match your sales or service volume. The three-year income projection will enable you to undertake this analysis. "If your business is viable, at a certain period of time your overall revenue will exceed your overall expenses, including interest." This is an important analysis for potential investors, who want to know that they are investing in a fast-growing business with an exit strategy.

Dig Deeper: How to Price Business Services

How to Write the Financial Section of a Business Plan: How to Use the Financial Section One of the biggest mistakes business people make is to look at their business plan, and particularly the financial section, only once a year. "I like to quote former President Dwight D. Eisenhower," says Berry. "'The plan is useless, but planning is essential.' What people do wrong is focus on the plan, and once the plan is done, it's forgotten. It's really a shame, because they could have used it as a tool for managing the company." In fact, Berry recommends that business executives sit down with the business plan once a month and fill in the actual numbers in the profit and loss statement and compare those numbers with projections. And then use those comparisons to revise projections in the future. Pinson also recommends that you undertake a financial statement analysis to develop a study of relationships and compare items in your financial statements, compare financial statements over time, and even compare your statements to those of other businesses. Part of this is a ratio analysis. She recommends you do some homework and find out some of the prevailing ratios used in your industry for liquidity analysis, profitability analysis, and debt and compare those standard ratios with your own. "This is all for your benefit," she says. "That's what financial statements are for. You should be utilizing your financial statements to measure your business against what you did in prior years or to measure your business against another business like yours."  If you are using your business plan to attract investment or get a loan, you may also include a business financial history as part of the financial section. This is a summary of your business from its start to the present. Sometimes a bank might have a section like this on a loan application. If you are seeking a loan, you may need to add supplementary documents to the financial section, such as the owner's financial statements, listing assets and liabilities. All of the various calculations you need to assemble the financial section of a business plan are a good reason to look for business planning software, so you can have this on your computer and make sure you get this right. Software programs also let you use some of your projections in the financial section to create pie charts or bar graphs that you can use elsewhere in your business plan to highlight your financials, your sales history, or your projected income over three years. "It's a pretty well-known fact that if you are going to seek equity investment from venture capitalists or angel investors," Pinson says, "they do like visuals."

Dig Deeper: How to Protect Your Margins in a Downturn

Related Links: Making It All Add Up: The Financial Section of a Business Plan One of the major benefits of creating a business plan is that it forces entrepreneurs to confront their company's finances squarely. Persuasive Projections You can avoid some of the most common mistakes by following this list of dos and don'ts. Making Your Financials Add Up No business plan is complete until it contains a set of financial projections that are not only inspiring but also logical and defensible. How many years should my financial projections cover for a new business? Some guidelines on what to include. Recommended Resources: Bplans.com More than 100 free sample business plans, plus articles, tips, and tools for developing your plan. Planning, Startups, Stories: Basic Business Numbers An online video in author Tim Berry's blog, outlining what you really need to know about basic business numbers. Out of Your Mind and Into the Marketplace Linda Pinson's business selling books and software for business planning. Palo Alto Software Business-planning tools and information from the maker of the Business Plan Pro software. U.S. Small Business Administration Government-sponsored website aiding small and midsize businesses. Financial Statement Section of a Business Plan for Start-Ups A guide to writing the financial section of a business plan developed by SCORE of northeastern Massachusetts.

Editorial Disclosure: Inc. writes about products and services in this and other articles. These articles are editorially independent - that means editors and reporters research and write on these products free of any influence of any marketing or sales departments. In other words, no one is telling our reporters or editors what to write or to include any particular positive or negative information about these products or services in the article. The article's content is entirely at the discretion of the reporter and editor. You will notice, however, that sometimes we include links to these products and services in the articles. When readers click on these links, and buy these products or services, Inc may be compensated. This e-commerce based advertising model - like every other ad on our article pages - has no impact on our editorial coverage. Reporters and editors don't add those links, nor will they manage them. This advertising model, like others you see on Inc, supports the independent journalism you find on this site.

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  • Small Business
  • The Top 10 Accounting Software for Small Businesses

What are Financial Projections and Why Do You Need Them?

Mary Girsch-Bock

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Our Small Business Expert

If you run a multimillion-dollar empire, it’s likely that your accounting staff is using enterprise-level software that can quickly and easily produce financial projections.

But if you’re a sole proprietor, freelancer, or micro-business owner, you’re likely to use data from your accounting software in order to prepare financial projections, but the software won’t help you in the preparation itself.

While that may sound confusing, it just means that most software applications such as QuickBooks Online , Sage 50cloud Accounting , and Xero can create the financial statements needed for you to prepare your financial projections, but the software itself will not be used in the actual creation of the projections.

At a glance: How you can create and utilize financial projections

  • Three financial statements -- a balance sheet, income statement, and cash-flow statement -- are required for any financial projections you create.
  • New businesses need financial projections, too. If you’re still in the planning stages, be aware that you will still need to prepare projections for your business plan.
  • You’ll likely be using a template to prepare your projections. While accounting software provides the basis for your financial projections, most small business accounting software applications aren’t capable of producing financial projections.

Overview: What are financial projections?

Financial projections are an important part of managing your business. Preparing financial projections may seem like a daunting task for small business owners, but if you can create financial statements, you can create financial projections. Similar to creating a budget, financial projections are a way to forecast future revenue and expenses for your business.

Frequently used as a way to attract future investors, financial projections are also an important component when preparing a business plan for a new business or creating a strategic plan for your current business.

You can create both short-term and long-term financial projections, with most business owners using both types of projections:

Short-term projections: Short-term projections usually cover a year and are typically broken down by month.

Long-term projections : Long-term projections typically cover the next three to five years and are usually used when creating a strategic plan, or for attracting investors.

What are financial projections used for?

Financial projections can be used in a variety of ways, but they’re usually used to attract investors or when applying for a bank loan or line of credit.

Here are a few situations that would call for financial projections:

  • You’re creating a business plan: One of the first things potential investors or banks want to see is a financial projection for your business, even if it isn’t operational yet.
  • You’re hoping to attract investors: When looking to invest in a business, investors typically look for financial viability. No one will invest in a business without a financial projection that outlines variables such as expenses, revenue, and growth patterns.
  • You’re applying for a loan or line of credit: Again, banks or other financial institutions are interested in the financial health of your business. This means providing them not just with current financial statements that outline current business performance, but also where you see your business next year, and the year after.
  • You want to get a better handle on your business: You may not be in the market to attract investors or obtain a bank loan, but you do want to be able to map out your potential growth and create budgets allowing your business grow and thrive. Financial projections can help here, too.

How to create financial projections for your small business

When you’re creating financial projections for your business, the same information is required whether your business is up and running or still in the planning stages.

The difference is whether you can create your projections using historical financial data, or if you’ll need to start from scratch. This includes creating projections based on your own experience in the field, or by doing some market research in the industry in which your business will operate.

Step 1: Create a sales projection

Sales projections are an important component of your financial projections. For existing businesses, you can base your projections on past performance obtained from your financial statements. For instance, if your sales tend to be higher in the summer and fall, you’ll want to include that in your projections.

You’ll also need to take under consideration some outside factors, such as the current and projected health of the economy, whether your inventory may be affected by additional tariffs, and whether there’s been a downturn in your industry.

While we all want to be optimistic about our businesses, be sure to plan realistically.

Microsoft Excel sample template for financial projections

This is one of Microsoft Excel's templates for sales forecasting. Image source: Author

Those still in the planning stages can follow the exact same plan (minus historical data), but you’ll need to do some additional research into the health of similar businesses in your proposed industry in order to plan as accurately as possible.

Step 2: Create an expense projection

Creating an expense projection may initially seem a bit simpler, because it’s easier to predict possible expenses than it is to predict the buying habits of current or potential customers.

For those working from history, you can predict with some certainty what your fixed expenses are, such as your rent or mortgage, along with recurring expenses such as utilities and payroll.

However, it’s much harder to predict those one-time expenses that have the potential to destroy your business.

What if the roof leaks in your business and destroys 75% of your inventory? What if you import the majority of your inventory from China, and you’re hit with escalating prices?

The “what ifs” can drive any of us crazy. All you can do is project expenses to the best of your ability, and maybe tack on an additional 15% to your initial number.

Step 3: Create a balance sheet projection

If you’re using accounting software and your business has been operational for at least a few months, you’ll be able to create a balance sheet directly from your software.

A balance sheet shows the financial position of your business, listing assets, liabilities, and equity balances for a particular time frame.

When creating your financial projections, you can use your current balance sheet totals to better predict where your business will be one to three years down the road.

For those of you in the planning stages, create a balance sheet based on the information you have collected from industry research.

Step 4: Create an income statement projection

Current business owners can easily create an income statement projection by using your current income statement to estimate your projected numbers.

Microsoft Excel template showing net revenue for a sample company

This Excel template can be used to display revenue, cost of goods sold, expenses, and other income to identify net income. Image source: Author

An income statement provides a view of the net income of your business after things such as cost of goods sold, taxes, and other expenses have been subtracted.

This can give you a good idea of how your business is currently performing as well as serve as the basis for estimating net income for the next one to three years.

If you're in the planning stages, producing a possible income statement demonstrates that you’ve done your research and have created a good-faith estimate of your income for the next three years.

If you’re not sure where to start, visit market research firms such as Allied Market Research, which can give you an overview of your targeted industry, including product sales, target markets, and current and expected industry growth levels.

Step 5: Create a cash flow projection

The last step in completing your financial projection is the cash flow statement. The cash flow statement ties into both the income statement and the balance sheet, displaying any cash or cash-related activities that affect your business.

The cash flow statement shows how money is being spent, a must for those looking to attract an investor or obtain financing.

Again, you can use your current cash flow statement if your business has been operational for at least six months, while those of you in the start-up phase can use the data you’ve collected in order to create a credible cash flow projection.

Benefits of using accounting software for your financial projections

If you’re an existing business owner, you’re likely using accounting software to track your financial transactions. If so, the availability of financial reports such as a balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement are valuable resources when creating financial projections.

Here are some of the benefits of using accounting software:

  • Accuracy: Unless you’re still in the planning stages, having the ability to create various financial reports and transactional histories from your software application helps to ensure your financial projections are based on accurate numbers.
  • Availability of data: Being able to pull financial reports can go a long way in preparing financial projections. While you’ll likely create the projections themselves using a spreadsheet application such as Microsoft Excel, the data for your projections is readily available for you and others to access and review.
  • Credibility: Being able to include supporting financial statements created by your accounting software with your financial projections lends credibility to your business and signals that you’re serious.

If you’re looking for a template to use to create financial projections, SCORE offers a downloadable financial projections template from Excel.

Finding the best way to create financial projections

While you’ll likely be using a template to create your financial projections, don’t underestimate the important role accounting software plays in creating accurate financial projections -- a necessity if you’re looking for investors or additional financing for your business.

If you’re still using manual ledgers or spreadsheet software to manage your business, it may be time to step up to the next level of professionalism by choosing and implementing an accounting software application that works for your business.

If you’re not sure which accounting software is right for you, be sure to check out our accounting software reviews .

We're firm believers in the Golden Rule, which is why editorial opinions are ours alone and have not been previously reviewed, approved, or endorsed by included advertisers. The Ascent, a Motley Fool service, does not cover all offers on the market. The Ascent has a dedicated team of editors and analysts focused on personal finance, and they follow the same set of publishing standards and editorial integrity while maintaining professional separation from the analysts and editors on other Motley Fool brands.

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Financial projections use existing or estimated financial data to forecast your business’s future income and expenses. They often include different scenarios to see how changes to one aspect of your finances (such as higher sales or lower operating expenses) might affect your profitability.

If you need to create financial projections for a startup or existing business, this free, downloadable template includes all the necessary tools.

What Are Financial Projections Used for?

Financial projections are an essential business planning tool for several reasons.

  • If you’re starting a business, financial projections help you plan your startup budget, assess when you expect the business to become profitable, and set benchmarks for achieving financial goals.
  • If you’re already in business, creating financial projections each year can help you set goals and stay on track.
  • When seeking outside financing, startups and existing businesses need financial projections to convince lenders and investors of the business’s growth potential.

What’s Included in Financial Projections?

This financial projections template pulls together several different financial documents, including:

  • Startup expenses
  • Payroll costs
  • Sales forecast
  • Operating expenses for the first 3 years of business
  • Cash flow statements for the first 3 years of business
  • Income statements for the first 3 years of business
  • Balance sheet
  • Break-even analysis
  • Financial ratios
  • Cost of goods sold (COGS), and
  • Amortization and depreciation for your business.

You can use this template to create the documents from scratch or pull in information from those you’ve already made. The template also includes diagnostic tools to test the numbers in your financial projections and ensure they are within reasonable ranges.

These areas are closely related, so as you work on your financial projections, you’ll find that changes to one element affect the others. You may want to include a best-case and worst-case scenario for all possibilities. Make sure you know the assumptions behind your financial projections and can explain them to others.

Startup business owners often wonder how to create financial projections for a business that doesn’t exist yet. Financial forecasts are continually educated guesses. To make yours as accurate as possible, do your homework and get help. Use the information you unearthed in researching your business plans, such as statistics from industry associations, data from government sources, and financials from similar businesses. An accountant with experience in your industry can help fine-tune your financial projections. So can business advisors such as SCORE mentors.

Once you complete your financial projections, don’t put them away and forget about them. Compare your projections to your financial statements regularly to see how well your business meets your expectations. If your projections turn out to be too optimistic or too pessimistic, make the necessary adjustments to make them more accurate.

*NOTE: The cells with formulas in this workbook are locked. If changes are needed, the unlock code is "1234." Please use caution when unlocking the spreadsheets. If you want to change a formula, we strongly recommend saving a copy of this spreadsheet under a different name before doing so. 

We recommend downloading the  Financial Projections Template Guide in English  or  Espanol .

Do you need help creating your financial projections? Take SCORE’s online course on-demand on financial projections or connect with a SCORE mentor  online or in your community today.

Simple Steps for Starting Your Business: Financial Projections In this online module, you'll learn the importance of financial planning, how to build your financial model, how to understand financial statements and more.

Business Planning & Financial Statements Template Gallery Download SCORE’s templates to help you plan for a new business startup or grow your existing business.

Why Projected Financial Statements Are Essential to the Future Success of Startups Financial statements are vital to the success of any company but particularly start-ups. SCORE mentor Sarah Hadjhamou shares why they are a big part of growing your start-up.

Copyright © 2024 SCORE Association, SCORE.org

Funded, in part, through a Cooperative Agreement with the U.S. Small Business Administration. All opinions, and/or recommendations expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the SBA.

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  • Business Planning

Business Plan Financial Projections

Written by Dave Lavinsky

Business Plan Financial Projections

Financial projections are forecasted analyses of your business’ future that include income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements. We have found them to be an crucial part of your business plan for the following reasons:

  • They can help prove or disprove the viability of your business idea. For example, if your initial projections show your company will never make a sizable profit, your venture might not be feasible. Or, in such a case, you might figure out ways to raise prices, enter new markets, or streamline operations to make it profitable. 
  • Financial projections give investors and lenders an idea of how well your business is likely to do in the future. They can give lenders the confidence that you’ll be able to comfortably repay their loan with interest. And for equity investors, your projections can give them faith that you’ll earn them a solid return on investment. In both cases, your projections can help you secure the funding you need to launch or grow your business.
  • Financial projections help you track your progress over time and ensure your business is on track to meet its goals. For example, if your financial projections show you should generate $500,000 in sales during the year, but you are not on track to accomplish that, you’ll know you need to take corrective action to achieve your goal.

Below you’ll learn more about the key components of financial projections and how to complete and include them in your business plan.

What Are Business Plan Financial Projections?

Financial projections are an estimate of your company’s future financial performance through financial forecasting. They are typically used by businesses to secure funding, but can also be useful for internal decision-making and planning purposes. There are three main financial statements that you will need to include in your business plan financial projections:

1. Income Statement Projection

The income statement projection is a forecast of your company’s future revenues and expenses. It should include line items for each type of income and expense, as well as a total at the end.

There are a few key items you will need to include in your projection:

  • Revenue: Your revenue projection should break down your expected sales by product or service, as well as by month. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.
  • Expenses: Your expense projection should include a breakdown of your expected costs by category, such as marketing, salaries, and rent. Again, it is important to be realistic in your estimates.
  • Net Income: The net income projection is the difference between your revenue and expenses. This number tells you how much profit your company is expected to make.

Sample Income Statement

FY 1FY 2FY 3FY 4FY 5
Revenues
Total Revenues$360,000$793,728$875,006$964,606$1,063,382
Expenses & Costs
Cost of goods sold$64,800$142,871$157,501$173,629$191,409
Lease$50,000$51,250$52,531$53,845$55,191
Marketing$10,000$8,000$8,000$8,000$8,000
Salaries$157,015$214,030$235,968$247,766$260,155
Initial expenditure$10,000$0$0$0$0
Total Expenses & Costs$291,815$416,151$454,000$483,240$514,754
EBITDA$68,185 $377,577 $421,005 $481,366 $548,628
Depreciation$27,160$27,160 $27,160 $27,160 $27,160
EBIT$41,025 $350,417 $393,845$454,206$521,468
Interest$23,462$20,529 $17,596 $14,664 $11,731
PRETAX INCOME$17,563 $329,888 $376,249 $439,543 $509,737
Net Operating Loss$0$0$0$0$0
Use of Net Operating Loss$0$0$0$0$0
Taxable Income$17,563$329,888$376,249$439,543$509,737
Income Tax Expense$6,147$115,461$131,687$153,840$178,408
NET INCOME$11,416 $214,427 $244,562 $285,703 $331,329

2. Cash Flow Statement & Projection

The cash flow statement and projection are a forecast of your company’s future cash inflows and outflows. It is important to include a cash flow projection in your business plan, as it will give investors and lenders an idea of your company’s ability to generate cash.

There are a few key items you will need to include in your cash flow projection:

  • The cash flow statement shows a breakdown of your expected cash inflows and outflows by month. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.
  • Cash inflows should include items such as sales revenue, interest income, and capital gains. Cash outflows should include items such as salaries, rent, and marketing expenses.
  • It is important to track your company’s cash flow over time to ensure that it is healthy. A healthy cash flow is necessary for a successful business.

Sample Cash Flow Statements

FY 1FY 2FY 3FY 4FY 5
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS
Net Income (Loss)$11,416 $214,427 $244,562 $285,703$331,329
Change in working capital($19,200)($1,966)($2,167)($2,389)($2,634)
Depreciation$27,160 $27,160 $27,160 $27,160 $27,160
Net Cash Flow from Operations$19,376 $239,621 $269,554 $310,473 $355,855
CASH FLOW FROM INVESTMENTS
Investment($180,950)$0$0$0$0
Net Cash Flow from Investments($180,950)$0$0$0$0
CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING
Cash from equity$0$0$0$0$0
Cash from debt$315,831 ($45,119)($45,119)($45,119)($45,119)
Net Cash Flow from Financing$315,831 ($45,119)($45,119)($45,119)($45,119)
Net Cash Flow$154,257$194,502 $224,436 $265,355$310,736
Cash at Beginning of Period$0$154,257$348,760$573,195$838,550
Cash at End of Period$154,257$348,760$573,195$838,550$1,149,286

3. Balance Sheet Projection

The balance sheet projection is a forecast of your company’s future financial position. It should include line items for each type of asset and liability, as well as a total at the end.

A projection should include a breakdown of your company’s assets and liabilities by category. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.

It is important to track your company’s financial position over time to ensure that it is healthy. A healthy balance is necessary for a successful business.

Sample Balance Sheet

FY 1FY 2FY 3FY 4FY 5
ASSETS
Cash$154,257$348,760$573,195$838,550$1,149,286
Accounts receivable$0$0$0$0$0
Inventory$30,000$33,072$36,459$40,192$44,308
Total Current Assets$184,257$381,832$609,654$878,742$1,193,594
Fixed assets$180,950$180,950$180,950$180,950$180,950
Depreciation$27,160$54,320$81,480$108,640 $135,800
Net fixed assets$153,790 $126,630 $99,470 $72,310 $45,150
TOTAL ASSETS$338,047$508,462$709,124$951,052$1,238,744
LIABILITIES & EQUITY
Debt$315,831$270,713$225,594$180,475 $135,356
Accounts payable$10,800$11,906$13,125$14,469 $15,951
Total Liability$326,631 $282,618 $238,719 $194,944 $151,307
Share Capital$0$0$0$0$0
Retained earnings$11,416 $225,843 $470,405 $756,108$1,087,437
Total Equity$11,416$225,843$470,405$756,108$1,087,437
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY$338,047$508,462$709,124$951,052$1,238,744

How to Create Financial Projections

Creating financial projections for your business plan can be a daunting task, but it’s important to put together accurate and realistic financial projections in order to give your business the best chance for success.  

Cost Assumptions

When you create financial projections, it is important to be realistic about the costs your business will incur, using historical financial data can help with this. You will need to make assumptions about the cost of goods sold, operational costs, and capital expenditures.

It is important to track your company’s expenses over time to ensure that it is staying within its budget. A healthy bottom line is necessary for a successful business.

Capital Expenditures, Funding, Tax, and Balance Sheet Items

You will also need to make assumptions about capital expenditures, funding, tax, and balance sheet items. These assumptions will help you to create a realistic financial picture of your business.

Capital Expenditures

When projecting your company’s capital expenditures, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the type of equipment or property your business will purchase. You will also need to estimate the cost of the purchase.

When projecting your company’s funding needs, you will need to make a number of assumptions about where the money will come from. This might include assumptions about bank loans, venture capital, or angel investors.

When projecting your company’s tax liability, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the tax rates that will apply to your business. You will also need to estimate the amount of taxes your company will owe.

Balance Sheet Items

When projecting your company’s balance, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the type and amount of debt your business will have. You will also need to estimate the value of your company’s assets and liabilities.

Financial Projection Scenarios

Write two financial scenarios when creating your financial projections, a best-case scenario, and a worst-case scenario. Use your list of assumptions to come up with realistic numbers for each scenario.

Presuming that you have already generated a list of assumptions, the creation of best and worst-case scenarios should be relatively simple. For each assumption, generate a high and low estimate. For example, if you are assuming that your company will have $100,000 in revenue, your high estimate might be $120,000 and your low estimate might be $80,000.

Once you have generated high and low estimates for all of your assumptions, you can create two scenarios: a best case scenario and a worst-case scenario. Simply plug the high estimates into your financial projections for the best-case scenario and the low estimates into your financial projections for the worst-case scenario.

Conduct a Ratio Analysis

A ratio analysis is a useful tool that can be used to evaluate a company’s financial health. Ratios can be used to compare a company’s performance to its industry average or to its own historical performance.

There are a number of different ratios that can be used in ratio analysis. Some of the more popular ones include the following:

  • Gross margin ratio
  • Operating margin ratio
  • Return on assets (ROA)
  • Return on equity (ROE)

To conduct a ratio analysis, you will need financial statements for your company and for its competitors. You will also need industry average ratios. These can be found in industry reports or on financial websites.

Once you have the necessary information, you can calculate the ratios for your company and compare them to the industry averages or to your own historical performance. If your company’s ratios are significantly different from the industry averages, it might be indicative of a problem.

Be Realistic

When creating your financial projections, it is important to be realistic. Your projections should be based on your list of assumptions and should reflect your best estimate of what your company’s future financial performance will be. This includes projected operating income, a projected income statement, and a profit and loss statement.

Your goal should be to create a realistic set of financial projections that can be used to guide your company’s future decision-making.

Sales Forecast

One of the most important aspects of your financial projections is your sales forecast. Your sales forecast should be based on your list of assumptions and should reflect your best estimate of what your company’s future sales will be.

Your sales forecast should be realistic and achievable. Do not try to “game” the system by creating an overly optimistic or pessimistic forecast. Your goal should be to create a realistic sales forecast that can be used to guide your company’s future decision-making.

Creating a sales forecast is not an exact science, but there are a number of methods that can be used to generate realistic estimates. Some common methods include market analysis, competitor analysis, and customer surveys.

Create Multi-Year Financial Projections

When creating financial projections, it is important to generate projections for multiple years. This will give you a better sense of how your company’s financial performance is likely to change over time.

It is also important to remember that your financial projections are just that: projections. They are based on a number of assumptions and are not guaranteed to be accurate. As such, you should review and update your projections on a regular basis to ensure that they remain relevant.

Creating financial projections is an important part of any business plan. However, it’s important to remember that these projections are just estimates. They are not guarantees of future success.

Business Plan Financial Projections FAQs

What is a business plan financial projection.

A business plan financial projection is a forecast of your company's future financial performance. It should include line items for each type of asset and liability, as well as a total at the end.

What are annual income statements? 

The Annual income statement is a financial document and a financial model that summarize a company's revenues and expenses over the course of a fiscal year. They provide a snapshot of a company's financial health and performance and can be used to track trends and make comparisons with other businesses.

What are the necessary financial statements?

The necessary financial statements for a business plan are an income statement, cash flow statement, and balance sheet.

How do I create financial projections?

You can create financial projections by making a list of assumptions, creating two scenarios (best case and worst case), conducting a ratio analysis, and being realistic.

how to create financial projections for business plan

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Financial projections: how to write the financial plan in business plan.

So, you’ve decided to write a business plan? Good for you! It’s an important document that will help you outline your business goals, strategies, and tactics.

But it’s not just a document for you, as the business owner in charge of everything – it’s also important for potential investors and lenders.

In particular, one of the most important sections of your business plan should be your financial plan or, in other words, your overall financial projections for the next few years – understand, three to five years – distilled in a specific and highly codified format.

Why? Because the financial projections in a business plan are the numbers’ version of your pitch – if something doesn’t add-up, that’s where you see it.

Now, we know that numbers can be impressive (not to say daunting), so in this post, we’ll explain to you how to write a financial plan in your business plan.

We’ll also explain the logic you are supposed to follow to do things right (because financiers expect you to follow a very specific logic).

And we’ll explain what your business plan absolutely needs to include from a financial standpoint.

If that makes sense to you, then let’s get going!

By the way…

Before we dig into the financial projections’ discussion, let us give you a tiny bit of background!

We are professional business coaches, and our job is to push entrepreneurs and business owners to their next steps.

Business planning and business plans are part of that, obviously, therefore we have written a series of free articles on how to write a business plan – of which this page is a part.

We are on a mission to make entrepreneurship fun and accessible, so we provide about 80 percent of our content for free – including a free business plan template to be downloaded down this page.

Still, in case that’s not sufficient, we’ve also created our Business Plan Builder Module , which has been designed to make your life super easy.

Shameless plug: it gives you access to:

  • a complete and solid business plan writing work-frame tool
  • automated financial tables that take the hassle away (yayyy!)
  • two designer-made templates (comprehensive + pitch deck)
  • and two hours of tutorial videos recorded with a business coach to explain all the logic you’ll need to master if you plan on writing a business plan that converts.

There’s simply no way to make things easier!

Now, having said that, let’s get going.

As a reminder, what is a business plan about?

To start the discussion, remember that a business plan is about much more than just numbers. As we’ve explained in our article What are Business Plans For? , the role of such a document is to show that beyond a nice business plan pdf nobody really cares about, you have a real business and a plan to get it somewhere.

First, a business plan’s purpose is to help you explain what your project is about. In that sense, the document you need to write should be written as a storytelling instrument, designed, and formulated to tell people a story they will want to read AND remember.

Second, it should give you a way to showcase your main business objectives for the next few years, as well as the strategy you will put into place to get there and deliver on your promises.

Third, your business plan should also provide a market analysis, and a description of your main target segment. That gives the reader a better understanding of your ecosystem’s potential, but more importantly the exercise forces you to look around, open your eyes and do some meaningful research.

You wouldn’t want to drive blindfolded, would you?

Of course, your document should also have a financial component – which is the topic of this article – and there the challenge is to ensure that your financial projections make sense, that they are clear, accurate and easy to follow.

Long things short, investors and bankers expect you to match a very specific business plan outline and format (there’s a code!) and you don’t have much wiggle room there – so be careful in your approach!

What is a Financial Plan & what should it include?

Now, let’s get into the core of this article: financial plans and financial projections. What are they, why are they important – there is a lot to explore.

First things first, what is a financial plan? How important is it in a business plan? And what type of elements is it made of? What are the projected financial statements you need to provide? Oh, and what do we mean by ‘financial projections’ in the first place, by the way?

What is the role of a financial plan in business plan?

A financial plan is the financial part of your business plan. Its purpose is simple: explain to the reader what should be the ins and outs of your project from a financial perspective, and help them see if their own business projections are aligned with yours.

On the one hand, the idea is to put numbers on your project, to make it tangible and show that your vision includes the end and the means.

On the other, it is also to show that you are capable of defending your big idea as well as the projected financials that need to come with it – something that many wannabe entrepreneurs are actually unable to do…

As a side note, and as silly as that might sound, this means that your business plan should include a lot more than just a financial plan and a smart cash flow projection!

That point brings us back to the one we made earlier when we said that a business plan should follow a specific structure (go read that article!), but we mention it again because we want things to be very clear: your business plan should be a matter of storytelling, not just a matter of financial projections!

Typically, we often see accountants work on business plans, and what they produce is rarely enough because they only deliver financial estimates that make no real sense to non-accountants (even less to the entrepreneurs at stake) and leave aside the rest of the topics – particularly the storytelling!

Said differently? The numbers are one aspect of the story, but you still have to come up with the pitch – which is where the rest of the business plan comes in handy.

Make sure to deliver an easy-to-read mix!

Your financial plan must provide your financial projections

To get into the technical part of the discussion, the financial plan in your business plan should include your financial projections, organized in a very formal format.

That makes two distinct points to consider!

On the one hand, you should be able to show with clear numbers what money should come in and when (that’s the income forecasts), for this year but also for the next, the ones after that for three to five years.

On the other, you should also be able to show what money needs to go out to make the business roll. What are the production costs, the fixed and variable expenses, the salaries, and of course the various marketing expenses needed to generate the development you are planning on getting to.

On that point, remember that your cost of client acquisition should also be part of the formalized projections – otherwise your numbers will be flawed (and doomed).

Ultimately, you need to be very clear as to when your new business (or existing business) should break even, as to when should profits be expected, as to when lenders and investors will get their money back, so forth and so on.

It must include specific financial documents people will expect to see

From a very formal perspective, you shouldn’t be trying to make one single projection sheet. Nope! Your readers will expect to see three important financial documents in the financial section of the business plan you will introduce to them.

  • A profit and loss statement – also known as your P&L statement, or as an income statement
  • A cash flow statement
  • And a balance sheet.

First, the P&L table or income statement should show what money is expected to come in or go out, but it should also show if and when the business will make a profit or a loss, year by year, for the next five years.

The sales forecast and the operating expenses should be easy to understand at that stage, and you should also be able to provide your estimated gross profit, your gross margin, as well as your net profit and net margin.

In case you are wondering, your gross profit corresponds to your sales minus your cost of production. Your net profit corresponds to the gross profit minus all the remaining costs.

It’s okay to read that twice…

Not being profitable is also okay, by the way. That’s the game. However, you must be able to explain why you won’t be profitable in a given year, and how you plan on filling the gap in the bank – otherwise your business dies, right?

Second, the cashflow statement should explain your cash flow management strategy and indicate when you will need to fill the bank account in, and why.

For instance, important account receivables could justify a temporary cashflow need, but the gaps left from the previous years should also be visible. Obviously, the funding needs should also be there and aligned with the financial situation of the business.

Third, the balance sheet is a summary of the previous two tables, except that it shows the various elements in terms of assets or liabilities. For instance, the account receivables we mentioned just before would be an asset (because some money is owed to the business) while account payables would be a liability (since the business owes money to someone else).

Does all this sound a little complex?

That’s because it is.

No need to worry, though. We have you covered and will provide all the templates and tools you need further below. For now, just keep reading.

So, what’s the financial plan in a business plan for?

To conclude, the financial plan in business plan should act as a financial cartography of what you have in mind for that business of yours.

  • The financial plan should illustrate the plan you have for the business in terms of numbers
  • It should include precise financial projections of what you think can be achieved
  • It should clearly illustrate your cashflow management strategy
  • And it should summarize the information clearly
  • All of this through highly standardized tables financiers will understand very easily

What documents should a financial business plan contain?

Getting your financial business plan right is a lot simpler than it seems.

Now, when you’re pitching that business of yours to potential partners, investors or lenders, you’ll need to provide them with a series of financial statements.

Yet, how to produce those documents without jumping into a living nightmare? How to come up with cash flow projections that make sense instead of being purely random?

Word of caution: financial planning for businesses is typically complex.

The question is not only fair, but it is also super-duper common and literally blocks tons of entrepreneurs and small business owners on a daily basis.

Because financial planning for businesses is typically complex.

Because most people aren’t comfortable with numbers.

And because the vast majority of small business owners simply don’t know where to start.

That’s probably why you were looking for either a financial plan pdf template or an example of financial plan for small business owners a few minutes ago, isn’t it?

Typically, here is what happens.

Some try and do their best, but then they don’t feel confident with pitching and defending their financial analysis, so they keep delaying and nothing happens.

Others end up having recourse to external help, even though external business plan consultants usually aren’t a good idea at that stage.

And the rest gives up.

That’s a shame, especially if consider that financial planning for a small business and building a financial plan for a business plan are only a matter of having access to the right method and tools!

Yes, a big (big) part of the work is to guestimate, but the rest is about trusting the process with the right logic, method and tools – and there’s nothing you can’t manage here.

Especially with the right tools!

How to build your financial forecasts?

Now that you understand the different sections of a financial plan, let us talk about how to build financial forecasting.

In plain English, this part of the exercise is where you’ll estimate your company’s income and expenses for the next few years. Therefore, you should keep a few things in mind.

One, you need to have a good understanding of your business in order to create realistic forecasts.

Sounds silly? Maybe, but this is a mistake people make way too much, and when they fail at justifying their financial projections, everything else goes down.

Two, you absolutely want to make sure that your projections can explore various trends, i.e. your pessimistic, optimistic, and most likely scenarios.

  • If everything goes extremely well, we’ll get there.
  • If everything goes wrong, we’ll get there.
  • But… we should reasonably expect to achieve this and that if we obtain the funding we need…

Can you see the idea?

Be sure to also factor in any potential changes or risks that could affect your business.

For example, if you’re expecting a new competitor to enter the market, you’ll need to account for that in your projections. By being realistic and accounting for as many variables as possible, you’ll give yourself the best chance of success so give it some thought!

Pragmatically, how do I come up with reasonable financial forecasts for my business plan?

It’s all a question of common sense, really.

  • How much do you plan on selling?
  • What are your short, medium and long term financial goals?
  • What would be the cost of production?
  • What margin does that leave you with?
  • What fixed costs would you expect?
  • How about variable costs?
  • Have you included transaction fees and credit card fees in your costs?
  • What is the cost of insurance premiums?
  • Will there be any debt to repay?
  • What type of budget do you need for marketing purposes?
  • What is the cost of acquisition of the client?
  • What operational margin does it leave before the taxman comes in?
  • What kind of money do you need to meet your long term goals?
  • Have you planned for any emergency fund at all?

Right, that’s a long list. But! Answering those questions should give you a strong basis to build financial projections that make sense, because that’s literally how you would read your income statement in the end.

If you were trying to translate boring numbers into a meaningful story, that’s exactly where you would start!

Again, we have you covered with all this.

If you are looking for a concrete and practical financial plan example, make sure to download our business plan template down the page. It will give you the basic pro forma financials you’ll need.

If you need to understand the logic behind the template and would rather use an automated spreadsheet to get everything done, however, then it’s time to stop struggling.

The Impactified Business Plan Builder will provide everything you need: the automated tables and two hours of business coaching videos designed to explain all the logic you’ll need – what are you waiting for?

Why Are Financial Projections so Important in the end?

So, overall, why is creating financial projections so important? Are there various types of financial projections anyway? There are several things to keep in mind here.

First, your financial projections are important because they give bankers and investors the numbers they need (to make an informed decision) in a format they expect to see.

Second, your projections show whether your strategy is aligned with the means at your disposal to achieve it and whether you are aware of the financial engineering required to make your business roll.

Third, and in a related way, forecasts will give you, as the entrepreneur in charge, an opportunity to show if you understand the business for real (or if someone else not present during the discussion wrote the plan for you).

All of these documents are important, but you (nobody else!) will need to be able to tell a story around them.

Investors aren’t just looking for numbers! They invest in teams and people before investing in projects, so they want to know that you understand your business and that you have a plan for the future!

So, make sure your financial projections are accurate and be prepared to answer any questions investors have about them.

Understanding the investment process

To understand how to handle the exercise properly, understanding the investment and funding process in general is important.

What do bankers and investors expect when they are looking at a business plan? How do they decide whether to invest or not? And how do the financial projections help them make that decision?

In short, investors are looking for a return on their investment. So, they want to know what they can expect to earn from their investment, and how that compares to the risks they’re taking.

Your projected income statement is important there, but so are your cashflow projections!

Your financial estimates should therefore show how your business will grow and what profits you’ll generate, both in the short-term and long-term. This information will help investors determine whether or not your business is a good investment.

In contrast, bankers have a much lower risk tolerance and are not interested in funding you – they lend money to those who have money to repay the debt (or some assets to engage as collateral in case something goes wrong). Hence, what they look for is not a high return on investment based on risk, but a repayment capacity based on predictability and wise financial management.

Said differently? You need to create financial projections that make sense and adapt your financial pitch to your audience accordingly.

Show investors that there is a great opportunity to make money at a later stage and show bankers you will be able to start repaying as soon as possible.

Again, if you need to explore the question of investors’ mindsets, we elaborate on that in our video module – it’s time to give it a try!

Business valuation and exit thinking

Last but not least, understanding the investment process means that you also need to start thinking in terms of valuation and exit.

Or, said differently, the financial plan in your business plan must lead you to think about what your business will be worth a few years from now, and about how you will be able to make money (for you and your investment partners) by selling it.

On the one hand, exit thinking relates to the idea that investors invest in a business with the expectation that the business will raise more money later on, at which stage a larger investor will come in and buy the existing investors out.

To make your investors some money, therefore, you have to start thinking in terms of exiting the business at some point – which means progressively turning the business into an asset that works on its own, for you and as much as possible without you.

This mindset is absolutely key – think about it!

On the other hand, the discussion leads us to think in terms of business valuation – understand, how much is the business worth, and how much could it be sold for.

That topic is probably getting too technical for this article’s discussion, so we’ll explore it in another post.

Meanwhile, make sure to listen to the exit & valuation video in The Business Plan Builder module . We explain all this and even go as far as giving you an automated valuation calculator in the financial tables part of the tool – again, you have no excuse!

Avoiding the typical mistakes small businesses make with financial planning

To finish with the discussion, what should you keep in mind if you wanted to turn your financial plan into an asset that generates money rather than frustration?

Like it or not, but small business financial planning isn’t an intuitive thing and people tend to make very typical mistakes you should avoid at all costs!

Know your business

First piece of advice, you really (really, really) want to know your business from every angle.

When you are writing the financial plan in your business plan, it’s important to remember that your projections should represent an estimate of future performance. That’s how investors and lenders will read your numbers anyway.

So, your financial projections and forecasts should be based on realistic assumptions and calculations that you should always be prepared to adjust as needed.

In order to make accurate projections, it is therefore extremely important to have a good understanding of your business and the industry it operates in. You should also consult with industry experts and other professionals who can help you make informed decisions about your business.

Do the exercise yourself!

When you’re writing your financial plan, it’s important to avoid making common mistakes. One of the most common errors is underestimating how much money your business will need to operate.

Another is to rely on business plan consultants to write your financial projections without being able to understand the numbers yourself. This can lead to mistakes if the numbers are incorrect, and it can lead to embarrassing ahem! moments if you can’t explain how this or that number ended up in the document.

The best way to ensure accuracy is to do the exercise yourself with the right tools in hand and the brainstorming support of someone you trust to challenge your thoughts and conclusions.

This can be done with your acting CFO or close financial advisor if you have one, or with a fellow entrepreneur if anyone around you has the right mindset to dig into the discussion with you.

Alternatively, hiring a business coach is another way to brainstorm and challenge yourself – follow the link to find out more about that.

Don’t be a tourist. That’s stupid.

Third piece of advice: don’t enter into a discussion with a potential partner as a tourist – this is stupid, and that could very well kill you.

We have seen countless entrepreneurs walk into a room (let alone into a large startup event) saying that they were raising money for their startup. Yet, more often than not, their financial targets are not set or beyond approximative, which means they can’t explain why they need money and how they are going to spend it.

When you do that, the only thing you do is be stupid and make sure everyone knows about it.

First, because they won’t take you seriously. Would you invest money into someone who can’t tell you how they’ll use it and with what return on investment expectations?

And second, because the people you talk to will most likely ask you to come back to them once you have more information to provide. Which either means “don’t come back before six months to a year” or “please don’t come back at all, I have better things to do with my time and more competent people to talk to”.

Don’t be a tourist or you’ll just burn yourself. That’s stupid.

Turn your numbers into a story

The fourth piece of advice is going to be a repeat from earlier, but it’s important so let’s be redundant.

Now that you’ve written your financial projections, it’s time to go beyond the numbers and start telling your business story. The financial plan in your business plan is a great place to start but remember that it’s just one part of your overall pitch.

You’ll also need to be ready to pitch your idea, product, or service, and be ready to defend your financial plan against questions from investors or lenders.

Think holistically and build a story people will want to listen to, remember and act on. Period!

TL;DR: Get your financial projections right!

Now that you understand the different components of a financial plan, it’s time to learn how to write it. The key to writing a good financial plan is to be realistic. Don’t make assumptions that are unrealistic or impossible to achieve.

Start by estimating your sales and expenses for the first year of business. Be as specific as possible, and remember to include both fixed and variable costs. From there, you can create a cash flow statement that shows how your business will generate and spend money over time.

The goal of a financial plan is to paint a realistic picture of your business’s financial future. So make sure to update your plan as your business changes and grows. With careful planning and accurate numbers, you can ensure that your business will be successful for years to come.

What should your business plan financial plan include?

  • A profit and loss statement – also known as your P&L statement, or as an income statement
  • A cash flow statement showing if your business plan financial projections are realistic

What is the purpose of your business plan’s financial projections?

  • To how the plan you have for the business in terms of numbers
  • To show a financial overview of what you think can be achieved, by when, with what means
  • To show you have a cashflow management strategy that makes sense
  • To show you understand the standardized expectations and know how to play by the book
  • To show that, overall, your business proposal makes sense whatever the angle!

Need a reliable template and video tutorial to get your financial business plan & financial projections right?

It’s built around over 2 hours of explanatory videos and comes with everything you’ll need to:

  • Figure out what you need to figure out – powerful, uh?
  • Understand the business plan code!
  • Write a top business plan – with just the right amount of words and pages!
  • Build your financial estimates – with an automated financial projections template excel spreadsheet!
  • Create a visually appealing pitch deck people will want to read thanks to our designer-made templates!

If you want to stop wasting your time, this is THE most simple business plan template, and you can’t afford to miss it!

Wanna’ start with something free? Our free business plan template is also here to help !

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More Insights on Business Plan Writing

Financial projections how to write a financial plan

Hey coach! I’m writing a business plan and I’m wondering how to build the financial projections part of the document. What’s the importance of financial projections exactly – I mean, isn’t it absolute BS? How do I write the financial plan in business plan, and even more importantly, how can I make sense of all those messy tables? Can you help me understand this? Thanks in advance!

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Do I Need a Business Plan Consultant? No, You Don’t!

Hey there Coach! I’m a small business owner and I need to find some support with my business plan. People suggested that I find a business plan consultant near me, but that’s a big cost and I’m not too sure about what to expect from that. What’s your opinion about business plan consultants in general? Is there any alternative you would highly recommend? Thanks!

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How Much Does a Business Plan Cost? Just Under $100!

Hey coach! I was wondering – how much does a business plan cost? I need one, and I’m thinking about having it written for me, so I’d love your insights. Also, I’ve heard business plan writers cost a lot of money, so I’m interested if you have tips for writing a low-cost business plan! Thanks!

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Run » finance, how to create a financial forecast for a startup business plan.

Financial forecasting allows you to measure the progress of your new business by benchmarking performance against anticipated sales and costs.

 A man uses a calculator with a pen and notebook on his desk.

When starting a new business, a financial forecast is an important tool for recruiting investors as well as for budgeting for your first months of operating. A financial forecast is used to predict the cash flow necessary to operate the company day-to-day and cover financial liabilities.

Many lenders and investors ask for a financial forecast as part of a business plan; however, with no sales under your belt, it can be tricky to estimate how much money you will need to cover your expenses. Here’s how to begin creating a financial forecast for a new business.

[Read more: Startup 2021: Business Plan Financials ]

Start with a sales forecast

A sales forecast attempts to predict what your monthly sales will be for up to 18 months after launching your business. Creating a sales forecast without any past results is a little difficult. In this case, many entrepreneurs make their predictions using industry trends, market analysis demonstrating the population of potential customers and consumer trends. A sales forecast shows investors and lenders that you have a solid understanding of your target market and a clear vision of who will buy your product or service.

A sales forecast typically breaks down monthly sales by unit and price point. Beyond year two of being in business, the sales forecast can be shown quarterly, instead of monthly. Most financial lenders and investors like to see a three-year sales forecast as part of your startup business plan.

Lower fixed costs mean less risk, which might be theoretical in business schools but are very concrete when you have rent and payroll checks to sign.

Tim Berry, president and founder of Palo Alto Software

Create an expenses budget

An expenses budget forecasts how much you anticipate spending during the first years of operating. This includes both your overhead costs and operating expenses — any financial spending that you anticipate during the course of running your business.

Most experts recommend breaking down your expenses forecast by fixed and variable costs. Fixed costs are things such as rent and payroll, while variable costs change depending on demand and sales — advertising and promotional expenses, for instance. Breaking down costs into these two categories can help you better budget and improve your profitability.

"Lower fixed costs mean less risk, which might be theoretical in business schools but are very concrete when you have rent and payroll checks to sign," Tim Berry, president and founder of Palo Alto Software, told Inc . "Most of your variable costs are in those direct costs that belong in your sales forecast, but there are also some variable expenses, like ads and rebates and such."

Project your break-even point

Together, your expenses budget and sales forecast paints a picture of your profitability. Your break-even projection is the date at which you believe your business will become profitable — when more money is earned than spent. Very few businesses are profitable overnight or even in their first year. Most businesses take two to three years to be profitable, but others take far longer: Tesla , for instance, took 18 years to see its first full-year profit.

Lenders and investors will be interested in your break-even point as a projection of when they can begin to recoup their investment. Likewise, your CFO or operations manager can make better decisions after measuring the company’s results against its forecasts.

[Read more: ​​ Startup 2021: Writing a Business Plan? Here’s How to Do It, Step by Step ]

Develop a cash flow projection

A cash flow statement (or projection, for a new business) shows the flow of dollars moving in and out of the business. This is based on the sales forecast, your balance sheet and other assumptions you’ve used to create your expenses projection.

“If you are starting a new business and do not have these historical financial statements, you start by projecting a cash-flow statement broken down into 12 months,” wrote Inc . The cash flow statement will include projected cash flows from operating, investing and financing your business activities.

Keep in mind that most business plans involve developing specific financial documents: income statements, pro formas and a balance sheet, for instance. These documents may be required by investors or lenders; financial projections can help inform the development of those statements and guide your business as it grows.

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Home > Financial Projections > How to Make Financial Projections

how to make financial projections

How to Make Financial Projections

This is a series of posts setting out how to make financial projections for a business plan. Accordingly this post will act as a general index and be a place to reference all the posts in the series.

Financial Projections Template

When using the template, simply amend the highlighted input elements to suit your purposes, and the template does the rest.

Outline Task List – How to Make Financial Projections

We have set out below a handy reference task list showing how to make financials for a business plan using the free business plan financial projections template, follow the links for further details and information. If you’re not yet sure whether your business idea is viable, it might be worth carrying out a break even analysis before preparing a full financial business plan.

Income Statements

  • Estimate revenue
  • Calculate or estimate your gross margin.
  • Estimate operating expenses
  • Decide on the depreciation rate
  • Find the interest rate
  • Find the tax rate

In summary the Income Statement shows:

Balance sheets

  • Estimate start up expenses
  • Estimate start up assets
  • Estimate startup capital (equity)
  • Calculate start up debt finance required

Opening Balance Sheet

  • Enter fixed assets opening balance
  • Enter cash opening balance
  • Enter opening accounts receivable
  • Enter opening inventory
  • Enter opening accounts payable
  • Enter opening other liabilities balance
  • Enter opening debt
  • Enter the opening debt payment term
  • Enter opening capital

Projected Balance Sheets

  • Determine days sales outstanding
  • Determine inventory days
  • Determine days payable outstanding
  • Determine other liabilities days outstanding

To summarize the balance sheet shows:

Cash flow Statements

  • Estimate capital expenditure
  • Estimate new debt
  • Enter the new debt payment term
  • Estimate new equity capital

Financial Model Reality Check

It is important to realize that it is unlikely that the first draft from the financial projections template will be perfect. Consequently review the financial model output and make changes to see how they affect the projections. Repeat the process until the income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements represent your proposed business plan activity, and the financial model behaves and responds in the way you expected it to.

How to make Financial Projections Conclusion

When considering how to make financial projections remember that you should include all 3 financial statements , income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement including details of any financing arrangements. The template will ensure that the projections add up, but its important to understand how the financial statements inter-relate.

In conclusion try to keep the business model and projections simple, remember less is more. Additionally do not over complicate the projections with extra lines or too many scenarios . Provide reasonable projections which you can justify, do not be too aggressive or over-optimistic when preparing them, particularly the revenue projections.

As has been noted the post is one of a series covering the process of how to do financial projections for a business plan to start your business. Consequently this post will act as a general index and be a place to reference all the posts in the series.

About the Author

Chartered accountant Michael Brown is the founder and CEO of Plan Projections. He has worked as an accountant and consultant for more than 25 years and has built financial models for all types of industries. He has been the CFO or controller of both small and medium sized companies and has run small businesses of his own. He has been a manager and an auditor with Deloitte, a big 4 accountancy firm, and holds a degree from Loughborough University.

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Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

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Written by True Tamplin, BSc, CEPF®

Reviewed by subject matter experts.

Updated on September 12, 2024

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Table of contents, what is a financial forecast in a business plan.

A financial forecast in a business plan is a projection of the expected financial performance of a company over a specific period, often annually or quarterly. It provides insights into anticipated revenues, expenses, capital investments, and cash flows.

Rooted in both historical data and assumptions about future market conditions, this forecast helps stakeholders, including investors, lenders, and company leaders, gauge the business's potential profitability and financial health.

By comparing actual financial results with the forecast, businesses can identify gaps, make informed decisions, and adjust strategies accordingly.

Moreover, a well-constructed financial forecast demonstrates the company's understanding of its market and adds credibility to the business plan, increasing the likelihood of securing investments or loans.

In essence, it's a vital tool for planning, budgeting, and ensuring that a business remains on a sustainable financial trajectory.

Components of a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Sales and revenue forecast.

Businesses thrive on sales. Projecting future sales provides a cornerstone to any financial forecast. By analyzing market trends, past sales data, and growth strategies, businesses can predict revenue inflows.

This, in turn, dictates everything from inventory purchases to hiring strategies. In the ever-evolving marketplace, an accurate sales forecast is integral for optimal resource allocation and to prevent overhead costs that can cripple an enterprise.

Expense Forecast

As businesses strategize for growth, understanding expenditures becomes crucial. These can be both fixed, like rents and salaries, and variable, such as utility bills or raw material costs.

External factors like inflation, geopolitical scenarios, and supply chain disruptions can also influence business expenses. Therefore, an accurate expense forecast not only ensures sustainability but also charts out profitability margins.

Profit and Loss Statement (P&L Forecast)

Herein lies the essence of any business—profits. The P&L forecast provides a clear picture of the company's anticipated net profit or loss over a set period.

Distinguishing between gross profit, operational profit, and net profit helps streamline operations and understand where the bulk of revenues or costs stem from. A keen eye on this forecast can lead to timely interventions, ensuring financial stability.

Cash Flow Forecast

Cash is the lifeblood of a business. The cash flow forecast paints a picture of a business's liquidity by tracking both incoming and outgoing cash.

A well-managed cash flow ensures operational sustainability. A business might be profitable on paper, but if it lacks the liquidity to manage its immediate expenses, it can face significant hurdles.

Balance Sheet Forecast

A forward-looking balance sheet gives stakeholders a snapshot of a company's projected financial health, encompassing assets, liabilities, and owner’s equity.

Regularly updating and reviewing the balance sheet forecast can assist businesses in making informed financial decisions, whether it's taking on debt or making significant investments.

Capital Expenditure Forecast

For businesses looking towards expansion or major investments, the capital expenditure forecast is indispensable. It involves predictions related to expenses on assets that will benefit the business in the long run, like machinery, buildings, or technology.

Crucially, evaluating the potential return on these investments ensures that they generate value over time.

Importance of Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Guide business strategies.

Financial forecasts are not just passive documents; they drive action. The insights derived from these forecasts shape a company's tactical and strategic decisions, ensuring alignment with financial expectations and goals.

Secure External Funding

For startups or businesses looking to expand, external funding often becomes essential. A robust financial forecast showcases the business's potential to prospective investors or lenders, bolstering its credibility and signaling its viability.

Risk Management

Financial projections serve as an early warning system. They highlight potential financial pitfalls, allowing businesses to devise countermeasures.

Whether it's diversifying sources of income, cutting down on non-essential expenses, or hedging against market volatility, these forecasts empower businesses to navigate challenges proactively.

Monitor Business Health

By juxtaposing actual financial outcomes with forecasts, businesses can gauge their performance. Discrepancies can lead to course corrections, ensuring that the business remains aligned with its broader financial and operational objectives.

Methods and Tools for Creating a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

Quantitative methods.

Numbers often tell a compelling story. Time series analysis, econometric models, and other statistical tools provide a quantitative means to chart out a business's future. These rely heavily on historical data and established market trends to make informed predictions.

Qualitative Methods

Sometimes, numbers need a human touch. Techniques like the Delphi method or expert judgment pool insights from professionals to make predictions, especially when historical data might not be a reliable indicator.

While these methods might lack the objective precision of quantitative models, they provide valuable subjective insights, especially in rapidly evolving industries.

Modern Forecasting Tools

The digital age has democratized forecasting. Several software solutions, from simplistic spreadsheet templates to sophisticated AI-driven models, empower businesses to automate their financial forecasting processes.

Integration capabilities, real-time data processing, and advanced analytics further enhance their efficacy.

Challenges of Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

External economic factors.

While businesses can control their operations, external factors often remain unpredictable. Market volatilities, geopolitical events, or global crises can disrupt even the most meticulous forecasts, underscoring the importance of adaptability.

Internal Business Changes

Organizational restructuring, strategy pivots, or product launches can significantly alter a company's financial trajectory. Such internal changes necessitate regular revisions of the financial forecast to ensure it remains reflective of the business's evolving landscape.

Inherent Uncertainty

The future remains, by nature, uncertain. Even the most sophisticated forecasting models rely on assumptions and estimates.

Recognizing this inherent unpredictability, businesses should adopt a flexible approach, regularly revisiting their forecasts and adjusting them in light of new data or changing circumstances.

A financial forecast in a business plan is an indispensable tool that projects a company's future financial performance, derived from both historical data and future assumptions.

Essential components include sales and revenue predictions, expense projections, and comprehensive statements like the P&L and balance sheet forecasts.

The objective is not just to track figures but to guide strategy, secure funding, manage risks, and constantly monitor the company's financial health.

While modern tools and quantitative methods provide precision, qualitative insights capture the nuances of rapidly changing industries.

Challenges like external economic shifts, internal business alterations, and the inherent uncertainty of predicting the future underline the importance of flexibility and adaptability.

In essence, a robust financial forecast not only charts a course for a company's growth but also ensures it remains agile in the face of both expected and unforeseen challenges.

Financial Forecast in a Business Plan FAQs

Why is a financial forecast in a business plan crucial for startups.

A Financial Forecast in a Business Plan helps startups anticipate revenues and expenses, allowing them to strategize operations, secure funding, and ensure financial sustainability from the onset.

How often should a company update its Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

While the frequency may vary depending on the industry and market dynamics, it's generally recommended to revisit and update the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan at least annually or when significant internal or external changes occur.

Can I create a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan without prior financial data?

Yes, startups and new businesses often rely on industry benchmarks, market research, and qualitative methods to create a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan, even without historical financial data.

How accurate is the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

While every effort is made to ensure accuracy, a Financial Forecast in a Business Plan is based on assumptions, projections, and available data. External factors and unforeseen changes can affect outcomes, making it essential to revisit and adjust forecasts regularly.

What tools can I use to automate the Financial Forecast in a Business Plan?

There are various software solutions, ranging from spreadsheet templates to sophisticated AI-driven platforms, designed to help businesses automate and enhance the accuracy of their Financial Forecast in a Business.

About the Author

True Tamplin, BSc, CEPF®

True Tamplin is a published author, public speaker, CEO of UpDigital, and founder of Finance Strategists.

True is a Certified Educator in Personal Finance (CEPF®), author of The Handy Financial Ratios Guide , a member of the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing, contributes to his financial education site, Finance Strategists, and has spoken to various financial communities such as the CFA Institute, as well as university students like his Alma mater, Biola University , where he received a bachelor of science in business and data analytics.

To learn more about True, visit his personal website or view his author profiles on Amazon , Nasdaq and Forbes .

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How to make financial projections?

How to Make Financial Projections: A Step-by-Step Guide

As a business owner, creating financial projections is a crucial step in planning for the future and making informed decisions about your company’s growth and development. Financial projections provide a snapshot of your company’s financial performance over a specific period, typically one to three years. In this article, we will guide you through the process of making financial projections, highlighting the key steps and considerations to ensure accuracy and reliability.

Why Are Financial Projections Important?

Financial projections are essential for businesses of all sizes and industries. They help you:

  • Plan for growth : Projections enable you to set realistic goals and develop strategies to achieve them.
  • Make informed decisions : By analyzing financial data, you can make informed decisions about investments, funding, and resource allocation.
  • Secure funding : Financial projections are often required by lenders and investors to assess the viability of your business.
  • Monitor performance : Projections help you track your company’s progress and identify areas for improvement.

Step 1: Gather Historical Financial Data

Before creating financial projections, you need to gather historical financial data for your company. This includes:

  • Income statements : Revenue, expenses, and net income for each period (e.g., monthly, quarterly, annually).
  • Balance sheets : Assets, liabilities, and equity for each period.
  • Cash flow statements : Cash inflows and outflows for each period.

Step 2: Identify Assumptions and Variables

To create accurate financial projections, you need to identify the assumptions and variables that will impact your company’s financial performance. These may include:

  • Revenue growth rate : The rate at which your company’s revenue is expected to grow.
  • Cost of goods sold : The cost of producing and selling your products or services.
  • Operating expenses : Fixed and variable expenses, such as salaries, rent, and utilities.
  • Capital expenditures : Investments in assets, such as equipment, property, and software.
  • Working capital requirements : The amount of cash needed to fund daily operations.

Step 3: Create Pro Forma Financial Statements

Using the historical financial data and assumptions, create pro forma financial statements for each period. These statements include:

  • Income statement : Projected revenue, expenses, and net income.
  • Balance sheet : Projected assets, liabilities, and equity.
  • Cash flow statement : Projected cash inflows and outflows.

Step 4: Analyze and Refine Projections

Review and analyze your pro forma financial statements to ensure they are accurate and realistic. Consider:

  • Trend analysis : Identify trends in your company’s financial performance and adjust projections accordingly.
  • Sensitivity analysis : Test the impact of changes in assumptions and variables on your financial projections.
  • Scenario planning : Create alternative scenarios to prepare for potential risks and opportunities.

Step 5: Present and Update Projections

Present your financial projections to stakeholders, including investors, lenders, and employees. Regularly update projections to reflect changes in your company’s financial performance and market conditions.

Key Considerations

When creating financial projections, keep the following key considerations in mind:

  • Accuracy : Ensure that your projections are based on realistic assumptions and data.
  • Consistency : Use consistent methods and assumptions throughout the projection period.
  • Sensitivity : Consider the impact of changes in assumptions and variables on your financial projections.
  • Flexibility : Be prepared to adjust projections in response to changes in your company’s financial performance and market conditions.

Creating financial projections is a critical step in planning for your company’s future and making informed decisions about growth and development. By following the steps outlined in this article, you can create accurate and reliable financial projections that will help you achieve your business goals. Remember to regularly update your projections to reflect changes in your company’s financial performance and market conditions.

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How to Create Business Plan for a Mobile App

September 17, 2024

How to Create Business Plan for a Mobile App

Having an idea for an app is easy, but planning the business side of it can be tricky and important. A business plan for app development gives you a clear way on how you should proceed further in the market. It helps you get good investors.

However, if you dive right into app development without sufficient analysis, you could be delivering an app to audiences who lack the necessity or desire for it. For example, 42% of startups fail due to the absence of demand for their product in the market .

That is why developing a business plan for an app is so crucial. It is useful when setting up a plan and developing it because it allows you to trace what you have to do and reminds of what might be overlooked.

how to create financial projections for business plan

Now, let’s get into the main topic: The stages that the entrepreneur should follow when developing a mobile app business plan.

Why Create a Business Plan for Mobile App?

A business plan for an app is an important tool that is the backbone of any business enterprise. It has been described as a plan or a route chart that starts from the inception stage or the identification of the idea and leads to the destination or success while ensuring that you do not reach a point like the financial management point.

In other words, it becomes your map for creating the app , managing the financial resources, and making sound choices as you progress through the development phase.

By creating a well-structured mobile app business plan, you’ll be able to:

  • Competitive analysis and an understanding of the conditions in the market opt for rational choices when it comes to marketing and communication.
  • Come up with a good financial management plan for the business to help it survive.
  • The other is a management function of evaluating performance so as to properly allocate resources.

Additionally, a business plan helps in aligning your team and – 

  • Makes all people have a common goal or ambition
  • Defines objectives, targets & focus
  • As much as a good business plan supports the proprietor in his day-to-day operations, it can also be an important tool in getting investors and stakeholders on board.

A survey by Palo Alto Software with 2,900 respondents revealed that business planning helped the business succeed and claimed that an entrepreneur with a business plan is nearly twice as likely to succeed as one without one. It was quantified in business growth, raising capital, and obtaining loans as the form of success.

In short, a business plan is more than a formality—it’s a critical tool for driving growth, gaining financial backing, and keeping your team on track.

Steps to Create a Business Plan for a Mobile App

The idea of launching the mobile application business is thrilling, however, if one does not have a strategy it is like beginning the voyage with no compass. Having an effective app business plan when launching an app is very crucial to making your app business successful.

Your business plan is your map for the future, no matter if you need money, partners, or just an orientation for your startup.

Here’s a step-by-step guide to help you create an effective business plan for mobile app.

  • Executive Summary

The executive summary will give a general description of your specific field and the mobile application, including the vision of the company as well as the business objectives and value proposition of the app.

Despite the fact it goes at the start of your business plan, it is usually written at the end, as it is the summary of points that identify your position.

It is in this case that this section should give prospective investors an overall view of exactly what your application entails and some of the opportunities it presents. Here’s what to include:

App Name and Description

Write a simple statement in layman terms to explain what the app does, and then explain the issue that the app addresses. This informs users the core functionality of the app and the rationale behind it hence making it clear what value the users will derive from the app.

Target Audience

Determine the most suitable application of the app to target as well as the category of users in this application. Who your app will be most appealing to and why they should be interested Whether it is consumers, established businesses, or a niche. Select the target audience and explain to them why they should be interested in using the app.

Unique Value Proposition (UVP)

Explain how your application is unique from others that are already out there. Your UVP is important because it tells consumers and the market why your app is better than the other existing apps in terms of new idea, problem solving style, or user interface.

Business Objectives

It is also important of state both the short term and long term objectives you have for the app startup. It may contain such goals as the introduction of a product, the desired number of users, revenue increase or new partnerships. Proving that you have reasonable targets will help investors understand that you have an effective plan for business development further on.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Market Research and Analysis

Market education is critical when it comes to the success of your app, and this area is vital in persuading potential investors that there’s need for the app . Market analysis enables you to know your client base, competition, and where you could find potential in the market.

Lenders also would like to know that you have researched and you are coming into a promising market. Take care of the below factors before going on next steps.

Industry Overview

First, you need to focus on the general trends and attributes of the mobile application market customers’ behavior in relation to mobile apps and technologies that affect the particular category of applications.

Explain how your app relates to modern trends, if it solves emerging needs, and how it might reshape or enhance the existing model. This is where you state how your app fits into the industry and is needed in today’s world.

Target Audience Insights

Defining your target market and going deeper by identifying age, location, gender, and many others, as well as their needs and behavior.

Avoid being stereotyped, and help your users understand what motivates them, what their problem is, and how you can solve it for them.

Every investor wants to know that their money will be going towards something that effectively serves the intended purpose; in this case, your app’s primary users are in pain when using other applications, and your app solves this pain.

Competitor Analysis

Analysing competitors and stating their key attributes as well as their positions in the markets. Identify why these competitors are successful and where they lack strength in their industry.

This is the time to prove how your app stands out in contrast to the similar apps already available in the market, how it can complement the existing apps or how it is more beneficial than the similar apps.

Market Potential

It is also useful to substantiate your market numbers and their expected growth for your target audience. Give market signals to the investors, which prove that not only the size of the market is huge, but also it is growing up, giving long-term opportunities for success.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • App Development and Product Strategy

Below is a more elaborate structure for creating and launching your application. These are the questions that investors need to ask to understand the technical strategy, management decisions, and product life cycle.

A clear and well-defined strategy shows that you are not just taking a random approach toward the development process but are ready to launch the app into the market in the most organized manner.

App Development and Product Strategy

App Features

List the basic functionalities of your app and explain how these functionalities will help solve the users’ problems.

Discuss how each feature can benefit the user, fix issues, or enhance the existing solutions available in the market.

For instance, if you are creating a fitness app , major features could refer to custom training schedules, monitoring of progress, or compatibility of an app with health-tracking gadgets.

Make a list of the features that your app is offering to its users and proceed to prove that the given features are necessary, helpful, and in response to the demand.

Technology Stack

Bifurcate the app development tools that you are going to employ alongside the frameworks and the platforms. Whether you are building an iOS or Android app or focusing on cross-platform development using technologies such as Flutter or React Native , investors will always be interested in the application’s technology.

Also, mention any back ends that would be involved, as well as cloud services or APIs that will be used in developing your app.

Giving this technical information gives a sense of confidence to investors that you have chosen the right tools and platforms that would support the scalability, security, and performance growth of your business in the near future.

Development Roadmap

Lay out a clear timeline that includes key development milestones. This may include the design phase, development of the prototype, alpha and beta testing phase, phases that incorporate feedback from the users, and the final launch phases.

Cite the major milestones and simplify the process into workable stages so that the employer sees that, indeed, you have a timetable in mind. It makes investors happy when you prepare a plan that includes a timeline, how you intend to spend more time on track, and what can hinder you.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • User Experience (UX) Strategy

It is very important to understand that a great app can’t be just about how well it works but how it works and how it feels to a user. Explain how you are going to design the UX of the application and how you are going to ensure that the application is easy to navigate, has good aesthetics, and is responsive to users’ interactions.

Describe how feedback from the users will be used to enhance the design with a customer focus that keeps the users interested. If you have intentions to perform usability testing, wireframing, or even A/B testing, it is also necessary to note all the above in order to stress the necessity of UX in your process.

UI/UX Strategy plays a crucial role in making a business plan for app development as it involves a lot of careful planning.

  • Monetization Strategy

This section outlines how your mobile app business plan will generate revenue. There are multiple ways to monetize a mobile app, and choosing the right one is crucial for profitability.

Monetization Strategy

  • In-app purchases
  • Freemium model
  • Subscription services
  • Ads and partnerships
  • Pricing Model : Discuss pricing for premium features, subscriptions, or one-time purchases.
  • Long-term Monetization Strategy : How do you plan to scale revenue as the app gains users?

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Marketing and Customer Acquisition

Again, even the greatest app would not be popular if people do not use it, and hence, there is a need to develop a clear strategic marketing and customer acquisition approach.

Here, you’ll dive into how you plan to drive traffic to your app, ensure users not only download it but keep coming back, and most importantly, why they’ll choose your app time and time again over competitors.

Investors have a lot of questions, and they need to feel confident that your business plan for an app goes beyond just acquiring downloads—it also focuses on building long-term user loyalty. Here are the key points to discuss with your team.

Marketing Channels

Determine the selected media that will provide the best access to your target group. Think about where your users are engaged the most, whether through platforms like Instagram, TikTok, or LinkedIn, or even through the app stores through ASO or any other form of marketing like email, SEO, and content.

The key here is to market your product according to the daily routines and habits of your targeted users; this convinces investors of the best places to find the targeted users.

Growth Strategy

Explain how you will be going about it and the specific strategies to be taken in order to enhance the download of the app as a part of your business plan for mobile app.

Some of the growth techniques can be Google AdWords or Facebook advertisements, Influencer or Affiliate Marketing, Referral Marketing- motivating existing customers to bring in more customers, and Public Relations by placing Articles and Blogs in Magazines and Newspapers and the like.

Make sure to emphasize scalable strategies that will not only increase initial downloads but also sustain growth over time. Providing examples of successful campaigns in your niche or similar apps can further strengthen your approach.

Retention Plan

Getting the users is always an achievement, but they must constantly come online to participate and be productive. Explain how you will maintain users’ retention now and then by releasing updates, new features, or personalized content or integrating engagement strategies such as push notifications, in-app messages, or loyalty/rewards programs.

Retention can also be created when the app provides some form of value over time, improves content updates, and provides better functionality or by developing an association through community feeling.

Another aspect to guarantee long-term traffic is offering users a great experience and giving feedback by providing frequent updates.

KPIs and Metrics

To assess the effectiveness of the marketing and obtaining of users, it is necessary to know the list of KPIs and the metrics to be used. These might include:

  • App Downloads: The total amount of users who download and launch your application.
  • Daily Active Users (DAU): The number of users who just opened this application every day, pointing to ongoing consumer curiosity.
  • Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV): The overall dollar amount that the user is to generate in the lifetime of his/her association with the app, relevant in determining the extended returns on investment.
  • Churn Rate: Users do not continue using the app: the share of consumers who decided not to use the application during some time span.
  • User Retention Rate: The proportion of those consumers who maintain and keep on using the application beyond the initial days when the installation was done; it could be 30 or 90 days among others.

Without these metrics, it becomes rather difficult to know what is working well in the marketing strategy and where changes need to be made. Specifically, investors will be keen to know how you track and manage user acquisition and user retention costs.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Financial Projections

This is where you’ll show the financial viability of your app startup. Investors will closely scrutinize your numbers, so be detailed and realistic.

  • Revenue Projections: Estimate how much revenue your app will generate over the next 1-5 years.
  • Cost Breakdown: Include the costs of app development , marketing, operations, and customer support.
  • Break-even Analysis: When will your business become profitable?
  • Funding Requirements: If you’re seeking investment, clearly state how much funding you need and how you’ll use it (e.g., development, marketing, hiring).

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Team Structure

Investors bet on people as much as ideas, so highlight your team’s qualifications and experience.

  • Founders : Provide bios of the founders, including relevant experience in app development, entrepreneurship, or your industry.
  • Key Hires : List other essential team members such as developers, designers, marketers, and project managers.
  • Advisors or Partners : Mention any advisors, board members, or strategic partnerships that bring value to the business.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Risks and Challenges
  • Market Risk : Will users adopt the app? Is there a market for it?
  • Technical Risk : Will the app be built on time and within budget?
  • Competition Risk : How will you stay ahead of competitors?
  • Monetization Risk : What if users don’t convert to paying customers?

Lets go one step deeper into these risks. It will give you better idea on what type of risks are involved in your idea.

Every business always has some risks that it is bound to encounter, making it very essential for the business owning the app to reveal to potential investors the potential risks that could be encountered in future.

A solid app business plan addresses potential challenges and offers solutions to overcome them. Investors appreciate this approach because it shows that you and your team have carefully thought through the entire process and are prepared for any obstacles that may arise.

Discuss and note down the risks related to your app idea . It will help you calculate the risk involved and the ratio of success.

Market Risk

It’s important to answer a big question: Is there a real need for your app, and will people want to use it? Business leaders will want to know how useful your app is and if it’s something that people will find valuable and use regularly.

To avoid this, it is advisable to invest time and effort in market research on price-level variance, users’ needs, trends, and how the proposed app will seamlessly fill this niche. Include, for example, beta-test results proving that people would like to use your product.

Further, positioning an app as a solution to a certain problem in a given sector can reduce the risk that customers associate with using new apps in the market.

Technical Risk

Developing an app brings along its organizational problems – will it be finished on time and within cost estimates? Has it been built satisfactorily?

This is where potential investors will need to see that you have a team of developers behind your idea and a concrete time frame to launch the application. In order to decrease the level of technical risk, the project development plan should contain the following points:

  • The detailed plan of project development, including the tasks that should be performed at different stages, the time to complete them, and costs that may be expected,
  • The contingency plan includes information about the activities, the time, and the costs to be expected in case the project is delayed or there are some technical problems. ’
  • This can also impress the investors and enhance their confidence in the project, given that some parts of the project, such as development, might have been done by an experienced team of developers or by reputable development firms.

Competition Risk

More and more players enter the market, and as a result, competition intensifies in the application market. Based on this, the investors will question how you will set your app apart from those in the market and those of competitors. To this, ensure that you state, specifically, the value that your app offers and the market space this particular app covers.

Competitor analysis also comes into play here – effectively presenting that your competitors have been thoroughly analyzed, then the targeted audience will have no option but to consider your thought-out and superior app proposition in terms of innovation or a better experience, or even the unmet needs of the public.

Further, the description of how a firm will maintain the innovative, update, and enhancement cycle also reduces investors’ concerns such that the app will remain competitive in the future.

Monetization Risk

Although you can gain thousands, if not millions, of users, finding ways to persuade them to start paying for the service can be quite a daunting task. This concept will be interesting to investors, and they will specifically want to know how you will monetize your app and how confident you are that users will be willing to pay for the services of your app.

To reduce this risk, it is important to explain in detail how you are going to generate your revenue — subscription, in-app purchases, or ads. Further, the explanation of how other apps in the same category or offering similar features have been monetized or the data from any test run or beta versions about users’ behaviors can help enhance your argument.

The other thing that is also best to categorize is flexibility in your monetization strategy , just in case you need to get on a different route depending on the response from the users or any changes in the market.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Reviewing Your Mobile App Business Plan

It is highly advisable to analyze your mobile app business plan and make certain changes on a daily, weekly, monthly, and especially yearly basis, given the fact that you might have new goals and objectives, which the initial plan does not take into consideration. Here’s a comprehensive checklist to guide you through the review process:

  • Ensure that the app’s purpose, features, and value proposition are still accurately described.
  • Make sure the initial goals you set when entering the industry remain realistic in the short and long term with current vision and market environment.
  • It also recommended to check for any new updates or changes in the market which may have an impact towards the application.
  • Ensure that your understanding of the target audience has not changed due to new demographics or changes in user behavior.
  • Follow up on competitor data to know whether new entrants or any modification in existing competitors might affect your strategy.
  • Revise the market size and growth opportunities with the new information available in the markets.
  • Check whether the major functions and values of the app remain relevant to the users and the overall demand at the market.
  • Determine if this technology stack and applied development tools are still relevant or if some new tools or technologies should be incorporated.
  • Create updated timelines, other major development milestones, and any modifications to the development process , incorporating feedback received in previous phases.
  • Take a look at the employed user experience design to determine whether the improvement can still meet the user’s or customers’ demands and requirements.
  • Refer to the evaluation of the effectiveness of selected marketing channels and modification of strategies as necessary based on the performance data and shifts in the users’ behaviour.
  • Evaluate the effectiveness of growth strategies and look for new methods to attract more users (which may be a new platform or a new trend).
  • Evaluate the retention strategies to know whether they are helping to maintain a regular engagement of the users and whether there is any other strategy that can be used.
  • Revise key performance indicators and other performance data on the basis of the data for the last periods and make changes to the targets if necessary.
  • Discuss the differences with the previous plan in terms of operations, such as variable changes in processes and systems.
  • Integrate the feedback of the users in order to enhance the applicative tool and match the expectation of the users.
  • Make sure you collect feedback from the other stakeholders and investors so that their opinion is also taken and included.
  • Look for any updates in law or policies that may have an impact on your app or general business.
  • For your app to survive and not be removed from the app store, see to it that your app complies with the current data privacy, security, and any industry guidelines therein.

how to create financial projections for business plan

  • Final Thoughts

Defining strategic business model for your mobile application startup company is the first pillar of your success. Thus, it also assists you in making your vision clearer while at the same time acting as an essential weapon for attracting investors, partners, and customers.

The aim of making a mobile app business plan is to reach every step of planning and make it detailed starting with the market analysis and ending with the financial plan of the app startup.

SPEC INDIA, as your single stop IT partner has been successfully implementing a bouquet of diverse solutions and services all over the globe, proving its mettle as an ISO 9001:2015 certified IT solutions organization. With efficient project management practices, international standards to comply, flexible engagement models and superior infrastructure, SPEC INDIA is a customer’s delight. Our skilled technical resources are apt at putting thoughts in a perspective by offering value-added reads for all.

Table of contents

  • Introduction
  • Why Create a Business Plan for an App

Delivering Digital Outcomes To Accelerate Growth

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Fed Announces Big Rate Cut

“We concluded that this was the right thing for the economy and the people we serve,” the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, said, referring to the central bank’s decision to cut interest rates by half a point.

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how to create financial projections for business plan

Jeanna Smialek

Takeaways from the Fed’s rate cut decision.

Federal reserve cuts interest rates for the first time in four years, jerome h. powell, the fed chair, said that the central bank would take future interest rate cuts “meeting by meeting” after lowering rates by a half percentage point, an unusually large move..

Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to reduce the degree of policy restraint by lowering our policy interest rate by a half percentage point. Our patient approach over the past year has paid dividends. Inflation is now much closer to our objective, and we have gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent. We’re going to take it meeting by meeting. As I mentioned, there’s no sense that the committee feels it’s in a rush to do this. We made a good, strong start to this, and that’s really, frankly, a sign of our confidence — confidence that inflation is coming down.

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The Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday by half a percentage point. Here are some takeaways from the decision and from remarks by the Fed chair, Jerome H. Powell.

The Fed’s decision lowers rates to about 4.9 percent, down from a more than two-decade high.

Fed officials lowered interest rates because they are confident that inflation is coming back down to their 2 percent goal, and now they want to prevent the job market from softening further.

Central bankers expect to cut interest rates more in the months to come, but they are not on a preset path, Mr. Powell said. They could speed up if the economy is weak and slow down if it’s strong.

The Fed is keeping a wary eye on the uptick in unemployment, but for now it thinks the economy is basically strong.

The Fed is feeling “growing confidence” that it can pull off the soft economic landing by lowering interest rates.

In short, the Fed has pivoted to its rate cutting era, and there is more to come.

Danielle Kaye

Danielle Kaye

The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq both closed roughly 0.3 percent lower, a modest drop, after rising earlier in the day on the news of the half-percentage rate cut. Overall, the market doesn’t seem spooked by the larger-than-usual rate cut. Investors had already bet on this bigger move, and the Fed’s messaging – that it wasn’t an emergency cut – also offered reassurance.

Alan Rappeport

Alan Rappeport

Vice President Kamala Harris is out with a statement that makes clear she is not ready to declare “mission accomplished” on inflation. “While this announcement is welcome news for Americans who have borne the brunt of high prices, my focus is on the work ahead to keep bringing prices down,” she said.

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Powell has finished his press conference. We'll be right back with a few big takeaways.

Lydia DePillis

Lydia DePillis

Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, is in the camp that the Fed is making up for not having started to cut in July. “The Fed also doesn’t like to admit policy errors, but some of the decision for a larger cut in September is likely to get caught up as the central bank found itself behind the curve by one meeting,” he wrote in a note. “Therefore, the September decision is a preemptive strike to increase the odds that the central bank can pull off a soft-landing.”

Michelle Bowman, the one committee member who wanted a smaller cut, seemed concerned about a resurgence in inflation as recently as last month. “I still see some upside risks to inflation as supply conditions have now largely normalized and any further improvements to supply seem less likely to offset price pressures arising from increasing geopolitical tensions, additional fiscal stimulus, and increased demand for housing due to immigration,” she said in remarks to the Alaska Bankers Association .

Ben Casselman

Ben Casselman

The Fed’s last meeting, in July, came just two days before a disappointing jobs report that showed rising unemployment and slowing hiring. Many economists said at the time that the report showed that the Fed should have cut rates — and Powell just suggested he agrees with them. If they had gotten the jobs report before their meeting, he said, “we might well have” cut rates.

One interpretation of today’s half-point cut is that it is making up for the quarter-point cut the Fed didn’t make in July. Powell hasn’t endorsed that interpretation, but he hasn’t exactly rejected it either.

Joe Rennison

Joe Rennison

Stocks have eased and the S&P 500 is now down for the day.

The real problem when it comes to housing, Powell says, is the lack of supply — a long-term problem that is outside of the Fed’s control.

Powell is asked about housing inflation, which has proved stubborn even as other consumer prices have risen more slowly. He says that the process has been slower than expected, but that data suggests that rents are easing, and that he is confident housing inflation will ultimately cool.

The ‘dot plot’ shows more rate cuts are coming, but disagreement on how many.

Federal Reserve officials agree that Wednesday’s rate cut is unlikely to be their last. They are much less united on how far or how quickly they will decide to lower rates moving forward.

The chart below, known as the “dot plot,” helps tell the story. Each dot represents one Fed official’s forecast for where interest rates will be at the end of each year.

Where Fed Officials Expect Rates Will Be

how to create financial projections for business plan

target rate

projections

Each dot represents what one Fed official thinks the target rate should be at the end of this year and the next.

how to create financial projections for business plan

In 2024, for example, nine of the central bank’s 19 officials expect rates to end the year at about 4.4 percent, half a point below where they stand after the jumbo rate cut on Wednesday. That suggests those officials expect to make more modest, quarter-size cuts in each of the two meetings they have scheduled for the rest of the year.

But seven policymakers expect just one more cut this year, and two officials expect none. At the other end of the spectrum, one official expects the Fed to cut rates by another three-quarters of a point this year, suggesting another supersize reduction in either November or December.

All 19 officials expect rates to be lower at the end of next year than they are now. But their estimates of how much lower vary widely, from about 2.9 percent (two full percentage points below where they are after Wednesday’s action) to 4.1 percent (just three-quarters of a point below where they are now). There is an even wider range of views in 2026 and 2027.

Eventually, most officials expect interest rates to settle between 2.5 percent and 3.5 percent. That’s higher than in the decade before the pandemic, when the Fed’s target interest rate never topped 2.5 percent — suggesting we may not soon return to the era of ultralow rates that prevailed after the Great Recession.

Powell tries to make clear that the politics of cutting rates right before a presidential election is not something the Fed thinks about, even though Trump has said any move ahead of November would be political. “This really concentrates the mind,” he said. “We don’t put up any other filters. If you start doing that, I don’t know where you stop.”

Jim Tankersley

Jim Tankersley

No surprise that Powell was asked about the political optics of this decision. And no surprise his answer is, what we care about it doing the best thing for the American people and the economy.

Is the era of ultralow interest rates gone for good? Powell seems to think so. “We’re probably not going back to that era where there are trillions of dollars of sovereign bonds being issued at negative rates,” he said, adding: “My own sense is that we’re not going back to that.”

Powell is asked about whether he would be content if the economy continued to add around 100,000 jobs a month, and he responds that it depends on how many people are entering the labor market. The high rate of immigration in recent years has raised that so-called “breakeven rate,” which is the pace at which employers need to add jobs to prevent the unemployment rate from rising further — some have estimated it’s now about 175,000 jobs a month.

Powell is making very sure to emphasize that the job market is still strong today. He’s walking a tricky line here. There were some concerns coming into this press conference that investors would read a big rate cut today as a sign that the Fed was freaking out about the job market. Powell is pushing back on that with all of this confident talk.

It’s striking how many of the questions in the news conference so far have focused on the job market, rather than inflation. It’s another sign of how the narrative around the economy has shifted.

Talmon Joseph Smith

Talmon Joseph Smith

Powell mentioned that average wage growth for workers is still somewhat above what most officials see as being “consistent with price stability.” One of the things I’ll be watching in the next several months, though, is whether inflation continues to slowly cool even as wage growth remains strong . That may be viewed as a pleasant surprise .

Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said markets “can and should only celebrate today’s move – and will continue to celebrate over coming months.” The S&P 500 hovered near its record high this afternoon, and the index is now up roughly 0.5 percent as Powell speaks.

Powell notes that layoffs are still low. But as I explained in a story last week , low layoffs don’t necessarily indicate a healthy labor market. It is the rate of hiring, more than the rate of layoffs, that often drives fluctuations in unemployment.

Powell is leaning into the argument that a strong labor market is a good time to cut rates. “There is thinking that the time to support the labor market is when it’s strong, and not when you begin to see the layoffs,” he said, noting that initial claims for unemployment insurance are pretty flat.

Powell acknowledges that the labor market is, by many measures, weaker than it was immediately before the pandemic. But he pushes back against suggestions the labor market is weak, arguing that it is more akin to its state in 2017 or 2018, which was strong, albeit not as strong as on the eve of the pandemic.

Powell notes that plenty of other central banks have already started cutting rates. “We’ve waited, and I think that patience has really paid dividends,” he said.

COMMENTS

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    Develop a cash flow projection. A cash flow statement (or projection, for a new business) shows the flow of dollars moving in and out of the business. This is based on the sales forecast, your balance sheet and other assumptions you've used to create your expenses projection. "If you are starting a new business and do not have these ...

  20. How to make financial projections for a new business

    Here are the steps to create your financial projections for your start-up. 1. Project your spending and sales. As you develop your business plan, list the key expenditures you will need to make to get your company off the ground and your subsequent costs to operate. Be sure to include recurring expenses—salaries, rent, gas, insurance ...

  21. How to Make Financial Projections

    When considering how to make financial projections remember that you should include all 3 financial statements, income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement including details of any financing arrangements. The template will ensure that the projections add up, but its important to understand how the financial statements inter-relate.

  22. Write your business plan

    A good business plan guides you through each stage of starting and managing your business. You'll use your business plan as a roadmap for how to structure, run, and grow your new business. It's a way to think through the key elements of your business. Business plans can help you get funding or bring on new business partners.

  23. Financial Forecast in a Business Plan

    A financial forecast in a business plan is an indispensable tool that projects a company's future financial performance, derived from both historical data and future assumptions. Essential components include sales and revenue predictions, expense projections, and comprehensive statements like the P&L and balance sheet forecasts.

  24. Financial Projections: Accurately Plan Your Business' Future

    Financial projections can have significant implications on your annual budget. A positive projection might make you feel more comfortable increasing your expenses to fund growth. A less favorable projection may cause you to pull back a bit and be more conservative with hiring, marketing costs, and other expenses.

  25. How to make financial projections?

    As a business owner, creating financial projections is a crucial step in planning for the future and making informed decisions about your company's growth and development. ... Plan for growth ...

  26. How to Create Business Plan for a Mobile App

    Having an effective app business plan when launching an app is very crucial to making your app business successful. Your business plan is your map for the future, no matter if you need money, partners, or just an orientation for your startup. Here's a step-by-step guide to help you create an effective business plan for mobile app. Executive ...

  27. Fed Announces Big Rate Cut

    Fed Announces Big Rate Cut "We concluded that this was the right thing for the economy and the people we serve," the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, said, referring to the central bank ...